Key research themes
1. How does agent-based modeling capture and explain emergent phenomena in complex human and social systems?
This research theme explores how Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) simulates complex systems composed of autonomous, interacting agents to capture emergent behaviors that are not reducible to individual components. It focuses on understanding how individual behaviors, interactions, and adaptations culminate in macro-level phenomena that are often counterintuitive and difficult to predict through traditional modeling techniques. Capturing emergence is critical for accurately modeling social, economic, and organizational dynamics where system-level outcomes arise from local agent-level rules.
2. What methodological challenges arise in designing, validating, and ensuring the reliability of agent-based models?
This theme addresses the complexities and potential pitfalls in the development lifecycle of agent-based models, including conceptual design, implementation, error identification, and empirical validation. Given ABMs' computational complexity and often exploratory nature, this area focuses on rigorously defining errors and artefacts, the transparency of modeling assumptions, and the integration of empirical and experimental data to enhance model robustness and credibility. These challenges are key to preventing misleading or invalid conclusions in simulation studies.
3. How can agent-based modeling be integrated with decision-making and optimization to enhance policy and system design?
This theme explores the integration of prescriptive decision-making approaches, such as optimization algorithms, with descriptive agent-based models to support complex policy design and improved decision support. It investigates methodologies to link simulation outputs with optimization routines, enabling more effective exploration of large scenario spaces and policy packages. This intersection enhances the practical applicability of ABM in real-world contexts where policy effectiveness, robustness, and adaptability to uncertainty are critical.