Ukraine's Military Forces, like all contemporary militaries, rely on several Space-based capabilities providing vital support for a range of targeting, navigation, and communications services in terms of directing strikes and battlefield...
moreUkraine's Military Forces, like all contemporary militaries, rely on several Space-based capabilities providing vital support for a range of targeting, navigation, and communications services in terms of directing strikes and battlefield movement. Uniquely, much of Ukrainian Space access is dependent on a diversified patchwork of civil third-party providers 12 , which arose early in the war, and critical targeting information provided by Allies, who have their own Space Forces. Building an in-house Space Forces Capability for Ukraine, which would allow for the integration of targeting, navigation, and communications services into a comprehensive defence and offensive architecture would be the next maturing step in the transformation of Ukraine's military forces from their prewar , and current posture. Critically, Ukraine's key strategic disadvantage is its ongoing reliance on Allies for Spacebased communications coverage, and missile early warning systems. The next extension of this, will be fielding its own strategic weaponry in the form of long-range missile complexes that will require satellite support. Currently, Russia despite its evolving military problems still has a major advantage in terms of its military satellite fleet, such as its reconnaissance satellite programs: Persona satellites, which are high-resolution optical reconnaissance craft designed for detailed imaging; and, Bars-M satellites used for cartography and wide-area reconnaissance with lower resolution imagery. There is also the Liana satellite system, a Space-based intelligence program used for electronic warfare and target designation. Russia's Space-based military assets ensure accurate navigation through the GLONASS system and enhance battlefield situational awareness through Persona, significantly strengthening high-precision weaponry and operational awareness 3. Publicly enunciated in early 2022, Ukraine's Space Access Strategy, has been securing three essential Space services pillars: Pillar 1: Remote Sensing Services Pillar 2: Communications Services Pillar 3: Autonomous Capacity to bring this infrastructure into orbit Arguably, Ukraine's Space Access Strategy has reached in 2025 'Pillar 3', in terms of its armed forces' modernization and capability expansion in missile armament, missile defence, and utilizing Space-based support; where it can move away from dependency on the major Space Powers, developing its own capabilities for it to achieve Space Situational Awareness, and be able to monitor opponent Space activity that could impact on its National Security. It has been recently reported that a programme is being initiated, to seek funding for, "[a] … dual-use satellite constellation, dubbed Intermarsat … [potentially] … comprised of more than 70 small satellites in sun-synchronous orbit at an altitude of about 500 kilometres (310 miles). It would provide daily revisits across the belt between the Baltic and the Mediterranean Sea, covering countries as far north as Finland and Estonia and as far south as Bulgaria." 4 The potential size of the constellation could reduce the effectiveness of Russian Antisatellite threats having a number of redundancies, to distribute functions across several satellites in face of threats, such as: (1) Rendezvous and capture technologies; (2) Direct ascent missile attacks; (3) Nuclear space mines detonations in orbit.