The nineteenth century competition between the Russian and British empires for control of Central Asia, known as “The Great Game,” is crucial to understanding twentieth-first-century American policy toward Afghanistan, Pakistan, and...
moreThe nineteenth century competition between the Russian and British empires for control of Central Asia, known as “The Great Game,” is crucial to understanding twentieth-first-century American policy toward Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India. Until our involvement in the War on Terrorism after the attack on the World Trade Center in September 2001, Americans had little understanding of the geopolitical importance of Central Asia. The British and the Russians, on the other hand, had a history of diplomatic and military maneuvering in the nineteenth century for dominance in the region. From the Russian point of view, it was part of a larger struggle against Muslim conquest by the Tatars of southern Russia and the Crimean Peninsula; against the Safavid Persians in what is today Iran, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan; against the Ottoman Turks in the Crimean Peninsula and the Caucasus; and against the Mughals in India, China, and Tibet. For the British, the motivation was to protect the “Jewel in the Crown,” that is, its colony in India from Russian incursion by establishing a buffer in Afghanistan, the Sindh, the Northwest Frontier (Pakistan, today), Kashmir, and Tibet. Both countries sent out explorers to map and establish alliances with the Muslim nations, or khanates, that controlled the passes through the knot of mountains in the region. These khanates played one nation against another, and when trade ties and diplomacy failed, the British and the Russians sent military forces to conquer them.
The result of this “Great Game” has been the establishment of artificial nations created as buffer zones, such as Afghanistan (combining the Tajiks and Uzbeks in the north and the Pashtuns in the south and east), Pakistan (combining the Sindhs in the southwest, the Sikhs in the Punjab, and the Pashtuns in the Northwest Tribal Region), as well as a continuing dispute between India and Pakistan of Kashmir (where a Hindu maharaja ruled a mostly Muslim population). The so-called Durand Line of 1893 established a border between Afghanistan and India (later, Pakistan) that divided the Pashtun tribesmen on either side of the border and created an “unorganized area” in what has become known as the Tribal Areas (which includes the city of Peshawar and the strategic Khyber Pass) and North and South Waziristan (familiar to use today as the stronghold in Pakistan of the Taliban).
The Boshevik Revolution in 1917 may have replaced the Tsarist government with Communism, but it didn’t change Russian foreign policy toward Afghanistan. The Russian policy in the region culminated with the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan between 1978 and 1989 and the American support of the mujahedeen, the fundamentalist Muslims who eventually forced the Russians to withdraw from this region, which became known as “Graveyard of Empires.” This defeat led to the fall of the Soviet Union in December 1991 and the subsequent establishment of the independent states of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. The Turkish-speaking Uighurs in the province of Xinjiang remained under Chinese domination as does the Buddhist mountain province of Tibet.
After the decline of the British Empire in the wake of World War II, the subcontinent in 1947 was divided into mostly Hindu India and mostly Muslim East and West Pakistan (the latter being divided after a brief war in 1971 into Bengali-speaking Bangladesh and Urdu speaking Pakistan). However, ethnic issues were left unresolved by borders established by the British that divided ethnic groups. In Afghanistan consists of Tajik and Uzbek tribes in the north, Pashtun tribes in the center, Baluchs in the southeast, and Hazari in the west. Pakistan has Pashtun tribes in its Northwest Frontier, Baluchs in the southwest, and Sikhs in the Punjab. And the dispute continues between Pakistan and India over India’s control of the mostly Muslim province of Kashmir.
The United States became involved in the region once we became a world power (or empire) after World War II. But we inherited a world of countries, whose borders were established by Russia and Britain in the nineteenth century. During the Cold War the United States supported Pakistan over neutral India and the mujahedeen against the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. But after 9/11 the United States embarked upon the War on Terror overturning the Pashtun Taliban government because it gave shelter to Osama bin Laden and Al Qaeda. We replaced the Taliban with a corrupt Pashtun government led by Hamid Karzai, while the government of Pakistan played a double-hand, giving token support to the United States, but secret support to the Taliban so as not to alienate the Pashtuns in the Northwest Frontier Region. Now, with the American withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Taliban is on the verge of retaking the Afghan capital of Kabul. In that eventuality, the country might well divide into Pashtun and Tajik states. Pakistan continues to be threatened by Pashtun separatists, yet supports Muslim separatists in the Indian state of Kashmir. Meanwhile, Russia continues to suppress Muslim separatists in Chechnya and Daghestan, and China maintains control over Muslim Uighurs and Tibetan Buddhists.
Today, American diplomats think about this region in terms of those Islamists who have resorted to terrorism, such as the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan, the Chechens and Daghestanis in the Caucasus, and the Uighurs in Xinjiang Province, China. Looking at the issues in the region in terms of the War on Terrorism has blinded our leaders from seeing the underlying issues of self-determination. By the same token, the Russians have convinced us that they are fighting terrorism in the Chechnya and Daghestan, the Chinese that they too are doing the same against the Uighurs. The reason why these Muslim populations are resorting to Islamist fundamentalism and terrorist tactics is not being addressed by military solutions. These issues are all related, and might better be resolved by diplomatic negotiations based on the principle of self-determination, rather than war.