Global climate change will have a direct effect on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) as discussed in previous and subsequent chapters. The primary effect of climate change will be a 1 to 3°C increase in global sea surface temperature along...
moreGlobal climate change will have a direct effect on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) as discussed in previous and subsequent chapters. The primary effect of climate change will be a 1 to 3°C increase in global sea surface temperature along with sea level rises as predicted by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) models. Other associated effects include increased acidity and increased terrestrial inputs. The effects of climate change will have a significant impact on marine microbes, potentially altering microbial diversity, function and community dynamics. Although microbes constitute by far the largest diversity and biomass of all marine organisms, they are often ignored in discussions about the impacts of climate change (Figure 5.1). This is despite the fact that the vast microbial life on our planet plays a central role in either accentuating or mitigating the effects of climate change. Since microbes are central to the global cycles (including carbon, nitrogen and trace gases), changes to temperature, nutrient availability and environmental pH will have major impacts on microbial processes central to the climate debate. This chapter will discuss the exposure, sensitivity and impacts of climate change on marine microbes at global, regional and local scales, providing examples of observed impacts in marine ecosystems. In doing so, the adaptive capacity and vulnerability of marine microbes to climate change will be assessed. The background provided in this chapter emphasises the importance of marine microbes and outlines why they require greater appreciation in research effort and consideration in predictive climate models. 5.1.1 Tropical marine microbes With more than a billion microorganisms in a litre of sea water, the biodiversity of microbial communities (Figure 5.1) and the functional roles they play in the marine environment (Figures 5.2 and 5.3) are hugely significant. Limitations with traditional culture-based methodologies (generally only 0.1% to 1% of marine microbes can be recovered on culture media by conventional approaches) mean that the diversity, phylogeny and function of marine microbes have remained largely unexplored. However, with the advent of molecular techniques, we are now discovering a huge diversity of marine microorganisms 90 and uncovering a wide range of previously unknown microbial functions 35,52,43. The functions and species composition of bacterial communities across the globe, including those of the GBR, may be adversely or positively affected by climate change. Shifts in microbial community structure may subsequently enhance or mitigate the effects of further climate change. Marine microbes are highly abundant, with global oceanic densities estimated at 3.6 x 10 29 bacterial cells 90 , 1.3 x 10 28 archaeal cells 58 and 4 x 10 30 viruses 92. Currently, estimates of marine bacterial diversity range from only a few thousand species 42 to as many as two million distinct taxa 19. Most analyses use a criterion of more than 97 percent sequence identity in the small subunit of ribosomal RNA to define a species or taxon. However, Fuhrman 33 points out that physiological and genomic differences may indicate a division on an even finer scale, suggesting that previous estimates of marine bacterial diversity may be too low 33. Additionally, recent research by Sogin et al. 90 examined microbial diversity in the North Atlantic and discovered that, while a relatively small number of microbes dominate, thousands of low-abundance microbes actually account for the majority of phylogenetic diversity. Sogin et al. 90 concluded that 'this rare biosphere is very ancient and may represent a nearly inexhaustible source of genomic innovation'. Part II: Species and species groups 99 Climate Change and the Great Barrier Reef: A Vulnerability Assessment Chapter 5: Vulnerability of marine microbes on the Great Barrier Reef to climate change Climate Change and the Great Barrier Reef: A Vulnerability Assessment Part II: Species and species groups Figure 5.3 An overview of the classical food chain and microbial loop (Adapted from DeLong and Karl 24) 5.1.2 The functional role of marine microbes 5.1.2.1 Nutrient cycling Changes in rates of bacterial photosynthesis or inorganic flux through the microbial loop can have major impacts on carbon cycling and on global climate. Bacteria are estimated to be responsible for 20 to 50 percent of marine primary productivity 16,29 and perform fundamental roles in the degradation of organic matter. In the upper 500 metres of the ocean, microbes consume an estimated 75 percent of the sinking particulate organic carbon flux 16. Marine microbes are also crucial to various bio-geochemical processes such as nitrogen fixation, chemolithoautotrophy, sulfate reduction and fermentation. Environmental perturbations that affect bacterial abundance or community composition are therefore likely to have large-scale effects on ecosystem function. The traditional view of the marine carbon cycle was that eukaryotic organisms were the only important players in the transfer of carbon between trophic levels. Bacterial processes were largely ignored because bacteria were thought to be inactive and present in low numbers. It is now clear that this historical view of carbon flux from photosynthetic phytoplankton to herbivorous zooplankton to higher organisms is incomplete and the microbial loop needs to be considered in addition to this grazing food chain (Figure 5.3). This paradigm shift has come about over the past 30 years as Classic food chain Microbial food web CO2 Carbon flux