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Electricity Markets

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lightbulbAbout this topic
Electricity markets are platforms where electricity is bought and sold, facilitating the trading of electrical energy among producers, consumers, and intermediaries. These markets operate under various regulatory frameworks and pricing mechanisms, aiming to ensure efficient allocation of resources, reliability of supply, and competitive pricing in the generation and distribution of electricity.
lightbulbAbout this topic
Electricity markets are platforms where electricity is bought and sold, facilitating the trading of electrical energy among producers, consumers, and intermediaries. These markets operate under various regulatory frameworks and pricing mechanisms, aiming to ensure efficient allocation of resources, reliability of supply, and competitive pricing in the generation and distribution of electricity.

Key research themes

1. How do distributed energy resources (DERs) and demand response programs transform electricity market structures and operations?

This research area focuses on the integration of distributed energy resources—such as energy storage systems (ESSs), photovoltaic distributed generation (PV DG), and electric vehicles (EVs)—and flexible demand programs into electricity markets. As DERs shift traditional unidirectional power flows to bidirectional flows with active prosumers, they challenge existing market models and market-clearing mechanisms, necessitating new business models, tariff designs, and ancillary service provisions. Demand response programs modify consumer behavior to balance supply-demand and improve grid stability. Understanding these transformations is essential to designing efficient, flexible markets that accommodate DER proliferation and enhance socio-economic welfare.

Key finding: This systematic review reveals that DERs including ESSs, PV DG, and EVs profoundly modify electricity markets by enabling peer-to-peer (P2P) trading, introducing blockchain-enabled transactions, and altering tariff formation... Read more
Key finding: This study demonstrates that near real-time local electricity trading (LET) among consumers, producers, and prosumers at the distribution grid level is feasible without excessive computational burden, provided that... Read more
Key finding: This article articulates how V2G technology, a subset of DERs enhancing bidirectional energy flows between EVs and the grid, is inhibited from effective participation in balancing electricity markets due to regulatory and... Read more
Key finding: This paper reveals that operating across adjacent markets, such as carbon markets and guarantees of origin, amplifies the economic benefits for distributed generation stakeholders. Within the Iberian electricity market, it... Read more

2. What factors contribute to price dispersion and instability in liberalized electricity markets, and how can market power affect price formation?

This theme examines price dynamics in liberalized electricity markets, focusing on causes of price dispersion, market fragmentation, and the exercise of market power by participants such as aggregators. It analyzes how transmission constraints, market design, and strategic behavior impact locational marginal prices (LMP), leading to volatility and inefficiencies. Understanding these determinants is vital for market regulation, effective price formation, and ensuring competitive equilibrium, especially given the high stakes in consumer welfare and investment signals.

Key finding: This study analyzes day-ahead electricity price dispersion across 40 bidding zones in 26 European countries, revealing that geographic market orientation, direction of electricity flows, and generation structure fundamentally... Read more
Key finding: This paper quantifies how aggregators in radial distribution networks can strategically curtail generation to manipulate market prices and maximize profits, facilitated by limited ISO oversight of intermittent resources.... Read more
Key finding: Introducing a novel model that integrates supply and demand market power assessments via ex-ante bidding data, this paper uncovers significant dead-weight welfare losses caused by oligopolistic and oligopsonistic behaviors in... Read more
Key finding: Investigating Ukrainian electricity supply companies under market liberalization conditions, this study identifies marginal costs, no-load costs, and loading costs as core price components. It empirically establishes that... Read more

3. How can electricity market models be improved to realistically represent price variability and support integration of renewables and new technologies?

This research area addresses shortcomings in electricity market modeling, particularly the underrepresentation of hourly price variability critical for assessing the value of flexible technologies like storage and transmission. Traditional models that assume generators bid short-run marginal costs fail to capture price spreads driven by operational constraints, strategic bidding, and renewables integration. Enhancing models to reflect these complexities is pivotal for accurate revenue estimation, investment decisions, and policy design aimed at a decarbonized electricity sector dominated by zero-marginal-cost renewables.

Key finding: By extending traditional merit order stack models, this work introduces bid spreading below and above short-run marginal costs to replicate historical hourly wholesale electricity price variability more accurately. These... Read more
Key finding: EuroMod introduces two key enhancements over traditional linear dispatch models: quadratic cost curves allowing bids to diverge from average variable costs, and a post-optimization adjustment of prices relative to net demand... Read more
Key finding: This reference work outlines fundamental economic principles underpinning energy supply and market economics, emphasizing how global energy demand growth and technology innovation drive energy supply dynamics. It... Read more

All papers in Electricity Markets

Troisieme fournisseur gazier de l’Europe, l’Algerie subit actuellement une forte concurrence sur ce marche suite aux mouvements de liberalisation instaures depuis 1998. En parallele, la dependance gaziere europeenne ne cesse d’augmenter... more
The paper investigates how proposed reforms on policies to maintain generation adequacy and to encourage clean technology investments in a number of European countries, modify the role of the market. This is reduced as the government,... more
The European Union (EU) aims to realize the energy transition by increasing renewable energy production and enhancing the flexibility of the energy system. Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology, which enables electric vehicles (EVs) to both... more
The occurrence of voltage violations is a major deterrent for absorbing more rooftop solar power into smart Low-Voltage Distribution Grids (LVDGs). Recent studies have focused on decentralized control methods to solve this problem due to... more
Among the many "low carbon electricity" initiatives launched by the Horizon2020 programm, the OSMOSE 1 project aims to assess all possible ways to provide flexibility to the European power system. This article provides a brief... more
A grid-size energy-storage installation enables the removal of peak loads in the distribution system due to high amounts of wind production. In this paper the ability of a battery energy storage to increase the amount of wind power that... more
Las fuentes no convencionales de energía renovable (FNCER) son fuentes de energía consideradas como una alternativa limpia para el suministro de electricidad frente a generación eléctrica a base de combustible fósiles. Además, son un... more
In this study, the evaluation of the pricing framework for predicting West Texas Intermediate crude oil stock was implemented where detailed analysis with varying changepoint shows that an arbitrage-free forward price can be derived from... more
The Establishment of an Electricity Independent System and Market Operator: A Narrative Exploration By Matthews Bantsijang – Energy Expert Introduction: The Need for Independent Electricity System and Market Operator The global energy... more
This article provides an agent-based model of a hypothetical standalone electricity network to identify how the feed-in tariffs and the installed capacity of wind power, calculated in percentage of total system demand, affect the... more
This article provides an agent-based model of a hypothetical standalone electricity network to identify how the feed-in tariffs and the installed capacity of wind power, calculated in percentage of total system demand, affect the... more
The increased penetration of distributed energy resources opens up issues in power system as a whole. This creates markets opportunities for ancillary services; particularly TSO deals with the issues of congestion management, reserves,... more
Distribution companies use time series to predict electricity consumption. Forecasting techniques based on statistical models or artificial intelligence are used. Reliable forecasts are required for efficient grid management in terms of... more
MAINTAINING A PERMANENT DIGITAL representation of power system equipment, controls, and protections is essential for predicting the overall behavior of the system and understanding the interactions among its various components. This... more
The electricity market is being deregulated all over the world. Deregulation has brought in a variety of trading systems such as day-ahead trading and has also introduced high volatility of electricity prices. The large variability of... more
The electricity market is being deregulated all over the world. Deregulation has brought in a variety of trading systems such as day-ahead trading and has also introduced high volatility of electricity prices. The large variability of... more
Dans quelle mesure la politique de Donald Trump pourrait-elle compromettre la stratégie de TotalEnergies dans les énergies renouvelables aux États-Unis ?
We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into... more
Emissions trading markets have been touted as the most efficient mechanism to achieve environmental goals at least cost. Whether in the form of voluntary markets or in a mandatory framework like in the first phase of the European Union... more
The European Union (EU) aims to realize the energy transition by increasing renewable energy production and enhancing the flexibility of the energy system. Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology, which enables electric vehicles (EVs) to both... more
In 2019, the most polluting power station in the Balearic Islands was partially closed down, marking the end of coal as the main energy source in the territory. In this work, we analyze the differences in the statistics of fluctuations of... more
This article explores how European Union (EU) law facilitates the integration of electric vehicles (EVs) into energy markets as flexibility resources. It analyses key legislative instruments including the Electricity Market Directive (EU)... more
As the integration of variable renewable energy (VRE), such as wind and solar, continues to escalate within electric power systems, a host of technical challenges emerges, primarily centered around the imperative to uphold equilibrium... more
Agradeço primeiramente a Deus, por sempre ter me iluminado e por ter me dado forças para seguir em frente durante todos esses anos de curso. Agradeço a toda minha família, em especial ao meus pais Augusto e Helena e minha irmã Vitória,... more
This Discussion Paper is issued under the auspices of the Centre's research programme in INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION. Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of the Centre for Economic Policy Research. Research... more
A energia eléctrica é um bem essencial para a maioria das sociedades. O seu fornecimento tem sido encarado como um serviço público, da responsabilidade dos governos, através de empresas monopolistas, públicas e privadas. O Mercado Ibérico... more
More and more frequently policy-makers are urged to assess the impact of their strategies and policies in terms of sustainable development. This necessitates the use of applied scientific models as tools for identifying and evaluating the... more
The large increase of renewable energy sources and Distributed Generation (DG) of electricity gives place to the Virtual Power Producer (VPP) concept. VPPs can reinforce the importance of these generation technologies making them valuable... more
L'inconvénient principal des énergies renouvelables est d'être intermittentes, c'est d'ailleurs l'argument principal utilisé par leurs opposants, comme ils l'ont exploité après le blackout intervenu récemment dans la péninsule ibérique.... more
This paper gives an overview of a turbulent time for the regulator and distribution system operators (DSO) in Sweden since the de-regulation of the electricity market in 1996. A performance based ex-post model was introduced 2003 as a... more
This paper presents a comparative study of regulating policies for interruption of supply in Sweden and UK. The two regulating regimes have been applied for a case study with a real rural electrical distribution system in Sweden, Flymen.... more
Maximum asset performance is one of the major goals for electric power system managers. To reach this goal minimal life cycle cost and maintenance optimization become crucial while meeting demands from customers and regulators. One of the... more
for valuable comments. We thank Mackenzie Humble for assistance assembling the price data from CAISO. We have not received any financial compensation for this project nor do we have any financial relationships that relate to this... more
The experience of liberalized electricity markets' ability to allocate scarce energy resources has been mixed. In this paper, we analyze how liberalized markets allocate power in the short and long run through the interaction between the... more
The entire electricity infrastructure and associated socio-technical system including transmission and distribution networks, the system operator, suppliers, generators, consumers and market mechanisms will need to evolve to realize the... more
The aim of this paper is to investigate the coupled oscillations of multiple bubbles within a cluster. The interaction between a bubble and the other bubbles in a cluster produces an additional mass. For a fixed number of bubbles and... more
Lecture Script: EVs, Balancing Markets, and Cross-Border Electricity in the EU "How EVs Are Changing Electricity Markets in Europe"-Introduction "Hi everyone! Today we're going to explore how electric vehicles-or EVs-are playing a big... more
DETERMINATION OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMERS' LOAD PROFILES VIA WEIGHTED EVIDENCE ACCUMULATION CLUSTERING USING SUBSAMPLING Jorge Duarte1 , Ana Fred2 , Fátima Rodrigues1 , João Duarte1 , Sérgio Ramos1 , Zita Vale1 1 GECAD – Knowledge ...
Abstract: - A definition of medium voltage (MV) load diagrams was made, based on the data base knowledge discovery process. Clustering techniques were used as support for the agents of the electric power retail markets to obtain specific... more
Después de casi dos décadas de funcionamiento del experimento chileno, y una del inglés, sus experiencias han dado la vuelta al mundo y numerosos países han adoptado o están en vías de adoptar un modelo que favorece la competencia en el... more
The article presents calculations and power flow of a real virtual power plant (VPP), containing a fragment of low and medium voltage distribution network. The VPP contains a hydropower plant (HPP), a photovoltaic system (PV) and energy... more
The introduction of performance based tariff regulations, and higher media and political pressure have increased the need for well-performed asset management in the operation and planning of electrical distribution systems. In this paper... more
by Ana Fred and 
1 more
DETERMINATION OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMERS' LOAD PROFILES VIA WEIGHTED EVIDENCE ACCUMULATION CLUSTERING USING SUBSAMPLING Jorge Duarte1 , Ana Fred2 , Fátima Rodrigues1 , João Duarte1 , Sérgio Ramos1 , Zita Vale1 1 GECAD – Knowledge ...
The European Union introduced the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) in 2005, which places a cap on aggregate emissions from the most energy-intensive industrial sectors. In the first two market phases, firms received allocations mostly at... more
A dynamic potential game theoretic production planning framework is presented in which production plants are treated as individual competing entities and competition occurs dynamically over a discrete finite time horizon. A modified... more
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