There's no hyperlink for "An analysis of Trump’s 50% reduction in the FY26 budget for the National Science Foundation finds that it will lead to roughly $11 billion in economic losses around the country." could you provide a link to the story?
I was seriously looking at being a paid subscriber here, as getting independent polling information will be so valuable in 2026. It asked me for a bunch of "SEK" each month: Google says that's Swedish krona. Is there some reason for this? Your note at the end says you are in Newark, Delaware.
I’m new here - so likely confused. But looking at the map that shows what states are hurt most severely by trump cuts, it appears that in many cases those cuts relate to counties/cities - areas that are notably bluer than their rural redder surroundings. It’s most clear along the west coast, where the Central Valley in California, and east of the mountain ranges, vote heavily red in otherwise blue states, because the bulk of the population is in the west, and that heavily urban bulk is weighted blue. The financial cuts are not exact. They cut areas of red rural central California coast. Everyone takes a hit of some kind - but it seems like their focus on cuts was narrower than a state, and as politically population focused as possible. It sends a local message: vote red to benefit. This administration is basically, simply, totally transactional. You get the stick if you don’t pay them with money, media propaganda, or vote/power. You must pay them if you want a carrot - over and over.
I am so glad to find you though Krugman's substack. I have so missed 538's charts since it disappeared. Many - over 20? - years ago I first encountered Nate (and Paul K) over on Daily Kos after retiring from teaching overseas for years. Thus showing my age... I even have a few years on Krugman. I have bookmarked the charts page and look forward to keeping track. Thanks
I know I'm writing in the context of another topic, but i feel like these would be important numbers - how many suits, how many successes, how many people are fighting back - and winning. Can you do this?
Another way to interpret the Republican response to pressuring broadcasters to remove shows is that 58% of Republicans don't think it's clearly unacceptable (30 acceptable and 29 not sure) vs, 12% total for Democrats and 26% total for Independents. Another sad example of the transformation of the party that once was always chanting about freedom, the Constitution and the rule of law. The phrase "Americans believe" seems meaningless to me anymore.
And, I was fascinated to see a distinction you make in the Trump issues poll that I haven’t seen anywhere else. Specifically, separating out immigration and deportation.
As someone who has been at Delaney Hall, I think still the largest deportation center in NJ and on the east coast, and regularly witnessing the despicable behavior of ICE towards family members waiting to see their loved ones, it would be great to regularly check in on where Americans stand on this Administration’s “cruelty is the point” approach.
So the questions focus on “deportations” v. “immigration.”
And taking into account the well-studied positive impact these hard-working people (they pay taxes, more than you can say for our president!) have on the economy and our society, explore where Americans stand on identifying these folks and from there not treating them like prisoners in a 5th-world country, but getting them on a path to citizenship? I wonder if support for that, DACA, etc, will shift.
Super nervous about people getting news on TikTok which will soon be in the hands of Larry Ellison, et. al.
Wondering how people view their own lawmakers and lawmakers as a whole re. how Congress responds to things like Executive overreach and literal fascist ideology/fascist agenda, like the authorization to use whatever “full force” is supposed to mean in order to subdue Portland.
Portland!
Also wondering about perception of making homelessness illegal via EO & using the military to remove unhoused people. Because who knows where they are taking them.
I think you and Tim Snyder lead in the % of articles I file as “Important”—thank you so much!
Thank you, J E! I’ve been thinking about Portland too, trying to figure out how to write about this in a new way. For one, it seems the military intervention here happened faster, and with less coverage at first, than the deployment to Los Angeles earlier this year.
Sure, but I'm confused exactly what you're asking about. For clarity, I conduct one survey among Strength In Numbers readers on Substack when they sign up for the newsletter, but otherwise am not polling my audience.
Any polls on the Pennsylvania judicial elections?
There's no hyperlink for "An analysis of Trump’s 50% reduction in the FY26 budget for the National Science Foundation finds that it will lead to roughly $11 billion in economic losses around the country." could you provide a link to the story?
https://substack.com/@yesterdaysnews1?r=6169cz&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=profile
I was seriously looking at being a paid subscriber here, as getting independent polling information will be so valuable in 2026. It asked me for a bunch of "SEK" each month: Google says that's Swedish krona. Is there some reason for this? Your note at the end says you are in Newark, Delaware.
I just paid in dollars. Check your personal settings?
Thanks! I am in France, not Sweden, but that must have something to do with it.
I’m new here - so likely confused. But looking at the map that shows what states are hurt most severely by trump cuts, it appears that in many cases those cuts relate to counties/cities - areas that are notably bluer than their rural redder surroundings. It’s most clear along the west coast, where the Central Valley in California, and east of the mountain ranges, vote heavily red in otherwise blue states, because the bulk of the population is in the west, and that heavily urban bulk is weighted blue. The financial cuts are not exact. They cut areas of red rural central California coast. Everyone takes a hit of some kind - but it seems like their focus on cuts was narrower than a state, and as politically population focused as possible. It sends a local message: vote red to benefit. This administration is basically, simply, totally transactional. You get the stick if you don’t pay them with money, media propaganda, or vote/power. You must pay them if you want a carrot - over and over.
I am so glad to find you though Krugman's substack. I have so missed 538's charts since it disappeared. Many - over 20? - years ago I first encountered Nate (and Paul K) over on Daily Kos after retiring from teaching overseas for years. Thus showing my age... I even have a few years on Krugman. I have bookmarked the charts page and look forward to keeping track. Thanks
Question: Do you have the numbers on how many fired fed workers, grant recipients denied money, got restored by going to court?
Not handy here.
I know I'm writing in the context of another topic, but i feel like these would be important numbers - how many suits, how many successes, how many people are fighting back - and winning. Can you do this?
Another way to interpret the Republican response to pressuring broadcasters to remove shows is that 58% of Republicans don't think it's clearly unacceptable (30 acceptable and 29 not sure) vs, 12% total for Democrats and 26% total for Independents. Another sad example of the transformation of the party that once was always chanting about freedom, the Constitution and the rule of law. The phrase "Americans believe" seems meaningless to me anymore.
This piece may resonate with you: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/how-trump-killed-free-speech?r=a9pj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
That post nails it.
I’ve just discovered you - all I can say is wow.
And, I was fascinated to see a distinction you make in the Trump issues poll that I haven’t seen anywhere else. Specifically, separating out immigration and deportation.
As someone who has been at Delaney Hall, I think still the largest deportation center in NJ and on the east coast, and regularly witnessing the despicable behavior of ICE towards family members waiting to see their loved ones, it would be great to regularly check in on where Americans stand on this Administration’s “cruelty is the point” approach.
So the questions focus on “deportations” v. “immigration.”
And taking into account the well-studied positive impact these hard-working people (they pay taxes, more than you can say for our president!) have on the economy and our society, explore where Americans stand on identifying these folks and from there not treating them like prisoners in a 5th-world country, but getting them on a path to citizenship? I wonder if support for that, DACA, etc, will shift.
Check out the AP poll linked above!
Super nervous about people getting news on TikTok which will soon be in the hands of Larry Ellison, et. al.
Wondering how people view their own lawmakers and lawmakers as a whole re. how Congress responds to things like Executive overreach and literal fascist ideology/fascist agenda, like the authorization to use whatever “full force” is supposed to mean in order to subdue Portland.
Portland!
Also wondering about perception of making homelessness illegal via EO & using the military to remove unhoused people. Because who knows where they are taking them.
I think you and Tim Snyder lead in the % of articles I file as “Important”—thank you so much!
Thank you, J E! I’ve been thinking about Portland too, trying to figure out how to write about this in a new way. For one, it seems the military intervention here happened faster, and with less coverage at first, than the deployment to Los Angeles earlier this year.
How to you adjust in the Substack polls for the fact that only people who read your stuff of Substack come across them?
I just don’t cite any surveys of Substack readers as representative of the population as a whole
But doesn't that skew the responses pretty severely? I'd expect your group to be significantly more engaged and more educated than the average voter.
Sure, but I'm confused exactly what you're asking about. For clarity, I conduct one survey among Strength In Numbers readers on Substack when they sign up for the newsletter, but otherwise am not polling my audience.