Key research themes
1. How does economic development influence the onset, persistence, and dynamics of civil and ethnic conflicts?
This research area investigates the empirical and theoretical linkages between various dimensions of economic development—such as GDP per capita, poverty levels, income inequality, and economic structure—and the occurrence, intensity, and duration of civil and ethnic conflicts. It explores mechanisms through which development affects conflict risks, including poverty-driven grievances, state capacity, economic diversification, and political institutions. Understanding these linkages is critical for formulating policies aimed at reducing conflict vulnerability through sustainable development.
2. What roles do ethnicity and political representation play in the emergence and management of development-related conflicts?
Focusing on ethnic conflicts intertwined with development processes, this theme examines both the causes of ethnic conflict and the effectiveness of political, institutional, and governance mechanisms—such as decentralization and local representation—in managing ethnic grievances and promoting inclusive development. It assesses how ethnicity is conceptualized within conflict research and how political exclusion or empowerment of ethnic groups affects conflict dynamics, particularly in developing contexts.
3. How do shadow economies, illicit activities, and informal governance within conflict-affected contexts influence development and peacebuilding efforts?
This theme explores the socio-economic functions and ramifications of shadow economies and illicit networks that often thrive in conflict-affected environments. It investigates how these informal economies serve both as coping mechanisms for vulnerable populations and as sources of financing for armed groups. Importantly, it examines policy approaches to leverage positive social functions, incentivize war profiteers to integrate into the formal economy, and the implications for strengthening state capacity and sustainable peace.