This paper presents the results from an air quality modelling study in the Sydney region using a meteorological model, the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) and a dispersion model called the Chemical Transport Model (CTM). Both...
moreThis paper presents the results from an air quality modelling study in the Sydney region using a meteorological model, the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) and a dispersion model called the Chemical Transport Model (CTM). Both CCAM and CTM were developed by CSIRO and have been used to conduct pilot modelling studies, such as the Sydney particle Study (SPS) previously. In this study, the emission input data, which is based on the latest NSW 2008 emission inventory and consists of 15 different source type categories, is used to evaluate the CCAM-CTM model by comparing with observed meteorological and air quality data. The study period is February 2011, which was the focus of the SPS. The air quality outputs of interest were nitrogen oxides (NO, NO 2), ozone (O 3) and particles (PM10 and PM2.5). The results of this study show that the current version of CCAM-CTM used with the above emission data provides good prediction of NO, NO 2 , Ozone and PM2.5 but not PM10. Based on the results, future improvements of the CCAM-CTM air quality model are discussed and suggested. (NSW) from time to time. As part of the OEH-commissioned Sydney Particle Study CSIRO demonstrated the use of CTM, using meteorological forecast data from CCAM (Cubic Conformal Atmospheric Model) and referencing the 2003 base year Greater Metropolitan Region (GMR) Emissions Inventory (Cope et al. 2013). As particles such as dust, sea salt, and wildfire aerosols can be transported across a wide region, there is a need for a flexible meteorological model that can be scaled to different resolutions to be integrated into the CTM framework. CCAM allows dynamical downscaling of global meteorological forecast or analysis data and is therefore suitable for this purpose. The Sydney Particle Study included summer and autumn measurements of precursor gases and particles (number, size, mass, composition), with observations used for model validation. Modelling approaches and observation data from the Sydney Particle Study are being used by OEH and CSIRO to further develop and calibrate the CCAM-CTM particle modelling system for use in NSW. An overview of advancements being made in the CCAM-CTM modelling system and the nature of the results are presented in this paper. CCAM-CTM MODELLING SYSTEM The CCAM (release 2057) using MODIS land-use data on the Linux platform is used to produce downscaled meteorology data for four Australian grid domains at 80 km × 80 km, 27 km × 27 km, 9 km × 9 km and 3 km × 3 km resolution for use in CTM simulations. As CCAM is a global model and only assimilates reanalyses data at large length scales with a scale-selective filter (Thatcher and McGregor 2009), it can equally be driven by ERA-Interim or NCEP reanalyses. ERA-Interim reanalyses was selected for use due to it having higher resolution and being more widely applied by the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO for regional modelling applications. The Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) has been developed at CSIRO for 20+ years. CCAM was the first 3-D cubic atmospheric model in the world. The grid is derived by projecting a cube onto a sphere. Hence CCAM geometry is based on conformal cubic grid system. A C48 cubic grid indicates 48 × 48 horizontal grid points per face or 48 × 48 × 6 grid points per level. Schmidt transform is used for variable resolution regional simulations. CCAM uses host modelled data such as global meteorological modelling output (e.g.