Key research themes
1. How can machine learning shape-constrained approaches improve local volatility surface calibration from market option prices?
This theme investigates the application of machine learning techniques, specifically Gaussian processes and neural networks, to interpolate European option prices while enforcing no-arbitrage conditions, thereby producing local volatility surfaces that respect financial constraints. It matters because traditional interpolation and calibration methods may either ignore no-arbitrage conditions or struggle with fitting accuracy and model smoothness, impacting option pricing and risk management.
2. What are the theoretical advances and existence results for local and stochastic volatility models involving nonlinear SDEs and regime switching?
This research area delves into the mathematical foundations of local and stochastic volatility (LSV) models shaped as McKean-type nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). It emphasizes existence theorems for solutions, the construction of fake Brownian motions, and regime-switching frameworks where volatility factors jump across finite states. This is critical for ensuring model consistency with option price distributions and for advancing the rigorous underpinning of calibrated volatility models used in practice.
3. How do realized and implied volatility measures reflect market dynamics, memory effects, asymmetries, and inter-market linkages relevant to local volatility modeling?
This theme encapsulates empirical analyses of volatility properties—including roughness, persistence, asymmetry, leverage effects, and cross-market spillovers—and examines their implications for volatility modeling and risk management. Studying these stylized facts is crucial, as they inform the assumptions and refinements needed in local volatility and stochastic volatility model parametrizations to better capture actual market behavior across different asset classes and geographies.