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Intelligence Explosion

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Intelligence Explosion refers to a hypothetical scenario in which an artificial intelligence (AI) rapidly improves its own capabilities beyond human intelligence, leading to an exponential increase in its cognitive abilities. This phenomenon raises concerns about the potential consequences and control of superintelligent systems.
lightbulbAbout this topic
Intelligence Explosion refers to a hypothetical scenario in which an artificial intelligence (AI) rapidly improves its own capabilities beyond human intelligence, leading to an exponential increase in its cognitive abilities. This phenomenon raises concerns about the potential consequences and control of superintelligent systems.

Key research themes

1. What are the probable pathways and risks associated with an intelligence explosion leading to Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)?

This theme investigates the conceptual, modeling, and risk-analysis frameworks for the development of AI systems that recursively self-improve to reach artificial superintelligence. It focuses on understanding the sequences of events (pathways) that could lead to rapid, possibly uncontrollable intelligence increases and ensuing catastrophic outcomes. This research is critical for quantifying risks, envisioning intervention points, and guiding safe AI development strategies.

Key finding: This paper developed the ASI-PATH graphical model that maps out key events and conditions that could lead to an artificial superintelligence catastrophe, particularly emphasizing recursive self-improvement as the mechanism... Read more
Key finding: The study challenges the conventional singularity narrative that AI will surpass average human intelligence in isolation, arguing instead that AI progress should be compared against enhanced collective human intelligence... Read more
Key finding: This comprehensive volume consolidates diverse theoretical perspectives on the intelligence explosion and technological singularity, covering AI progress evidence, ethical considerations, economic incentives, and machine... Read more

2. How do biological and cognitive analogies inform our understanding of intelligence explosion and artificial intelligence development?

This theme explores conceptual and philosophical frameworks that compare natural intelligence, neuroplasticity, and cognitive architectures with artificial intelligence development. Such research addresses the validity of common metaphors (e.g., brain as computer), critiques existing definitions of intelligence, and provides insight into emerging AI technologies through the lens of biological intelligence dynamics and plasticity. This approach informs foundational understanding relevant for guiding AI design and interpreting intelligence explosion phenomena.

Key finding: Through a genealogical and philosophical analysis, this paper critiques the traditional cybernetic metaphor of the brain and the reduction of intelligence to IQ metrics. It introduces neuroplasticity as a dynamic substrate... Read more
Key finding: This paper proposes a cognitive dynamic system (CDS) framework within cyber-physical system (CPS) architectures to model intelligent systems analogous to natural brain functions. It discusses the autonomic decision-making... Read more
Key finding: Critically evaluating claims that cultured neuronal networks exhibit intelligence and sentience, this paper underscores the importance of precise terminology grounded in neurobiology, machine learning, and psychology. It... Read more

3. What are the alternative perspectives on intelligence explosion involving human-machine integration and organizational intelligence?

This theme focuses on the augmentation of human intelligence through technological integration and the conceptualization of intelligence as a distributed, organizational, or collective phenomenon. It contrasts intelligence amplification with traditional AI approaches, critiques the focus on intelligence as purely an art or practice, and explores the extended intelligence paradigm that encompasses human-machine networks. This theme contributes actionable insights into how intelligence explosion can be realized or mitigated through human-centric augmentation and organizational design rather than isolated AI systems.

Key finding: This paper advocates intelligence amplification (IA), emphasizing the fusion of human cognitive capacities with AI-based systems rather than the replacement of humans by artificial agents. It argues that IA offers a safer and... Read more
Key finding: The concept of Extended Intelligence (EI) introduced here frames intelligence as fundamentally distributed across networks of humans and machines. This research emphasizes the augmentation of collective intelligence through... Read more
Key finding: This study critiques the narrow focus on 'intelligence as an art' or practice in organizational contexts, calling for intelligence studies to develop as a scientific discipline. It proposes viewing intelligence as an... Read more

All papers in Intelligence Explosion

This article comments on the idea of ‗singularity‘, understood as the result of a very fast and sudden technological process, supposedly giving birth in the future to an ‗almighty‘ generation of machines or maybe to a single one of that... more
This is a commentary on Andrea Lavazza and Murilo Vilaça's article "Human Extinction and AI: What We Can Learn from the Ultimate Threat" (Lavazza & Vilaça, 2024). I discuss the potential concern that their proposal to create artificial... more
William Hertling’s A.I. Apocalypse(2012) is a post-apocalyptic novel about vulnerability of modern technological life against superintelligence. The novel shows living in an A.I-controlled society behind a revolution or revolt by... more
Artificial Intelligence has provided many benefits for achieving better life standards for people. But except from its advantages on improving life standards and solving real world problems effectively, there is currently a remarkable... more
Yampolskiy and others have shown that the space of possible minds is vast, actually infinite (Yampolskiy, 2015). A question of interest is 'Which activities can minds perform during their lifetime?' This question is very broad,... more
Software capable of improving itself has been a dream of computer scientists since the inception of the field. In this work we provide definitions for Recursively Self-Improving software, survey different types of self-improving software,... more
Machine ethics and robot rights are quickly becoming hot topics in artificial intelligence and robotics communities. We will argue that attempts to attribute moral agency and assign rights to all intelligent machines are misguided,... more
ETHICS AND INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS Although philosophical and moral problems associated with artificial intelligence have always been present since the inception of this field, they become more and more important due to the ubiquity of... more
The paper begins with an introduction of the Singularity Paradox, an observation that: "Superintelligent machines are feared to be too dumb to possess commonsense". Ideas from leading researchers in the fields of philosophy, mathematics,... more
Software capable of improving itself has been a dream of computer scientists since the inception of the field. In this work we provide definitions for Recursively Self-Improving software, survey different types of self-improving software,... more
A number of prominent artificial intelligence (AI) researchers and commentators (Moravec 1999a; Solomonoff 1985; Vinge 1993) have presented versions of the following argument: 1. Continued exponential improvement in computer hardware will... more
Future studies are seen as a prerequisite for the development of a sustainable and prosperous society. Many countries, institutions and corporations invest substantially in the research of the future.
The artificial intelligence in the functioning of modern societies is analysed in ontological cathegories based on the ontology of Nicolai Hartmann. By the enhanced artifial intelligence was not modified the hierarchy of the layers of... more
There is increasing discussion of the possibility of AI being developed to a point where it reaches a 'singularity' beyond which it will continue to improve in a runaway fashion without human help. Worst-case scenarios sup- pose that, in... more
A bright metallic thread of future-oriented thinking runs through the tapestry of the philosophy of mind, especially in those parts of the field that have grappled with the possibility of minds as machines. Can a robot feel pain? Can a... more
The paper attempts to describe the space of possible mind designs by first equating all minds to software. Next it proves some interesting properties of the mind design space such as infinitude of minds, size and representation complexity... more
William Hertling’s A.I. Apocalypse (2012) is a post-apocalyptic novel about vulnerability of modern technological life against superintelligence. The novel shows living in an A.I-controlled society behind a revolution or revolt by... more
The fact that in several years time we will develop sentient AI, is a seemingly certain prediction. The development of molecular nanotechnology effecting in constant growth of processing power is likely to allow us to create minds, which... more
Abstract Machine ethics and robot rights are quickly becoming hot topics in artificial intelligence and robotics communities. We will argue that attempts to attribute moral agency and assign rights to all intelligent machines are... more
Abstract Machine ethics and robot rights are quickly becoming hot topics in artificial intelligence and robotics communities. We will argue that attempts to attribute moral agency and assign rights to all intelligent machines are... more
The paper begins with an introduction of the Singularity Paradox, an observation that:“Superintelligent machines are feared to be too dumb to possess commonsense”. Ideas from leading researchers in the fields of philosophy, mathematics,... more
Abstract When the first artificial general intelligences are built, they may improve themselves to far-above-human levels. Speculations about such future entities are already affected by anthropomorphic bias, which leads to erroneous... more
Ray Kurzweil’s book The Singularity Is Near dragged me back into a subject that I am familiar with. In fact, ten years ago I thought I was the first to have discovered it only to find out later that a whole cult with increasing number of... more
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