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Independence Referendums

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lightbulbAbout this topic
Independence referendums are direct votes in which an electorate is invited to decide on the political status of a territory, specifically whether to remain part of an existing state or to become an independent sovereign entity. These referendums often reflect national self-determination and can significantly impact political and territorial boundaries.
lightbulbAbout this topic
Independence referendums are direct votes in which an electorate is invited to decide on the political status of a territory, specifically whether to remain part of an existing state or to become an independent sovereign entity. These referendums often reflect national self-determination and can significantly impact political and territorial boundaries.

Key research themes

1. How do independence referendums function strategically within secessionist movements beyond merely deciding statehood?

This research theme investigates the various strategic purposes independence referendums serve within secessionist movements, emphasizing that referendums often do not solely function as mechanisms for a popular decision on independence but as tools for leverage, signaling, or ratification. Understanding these functions is crucial for explaining why independence referendums are called and how they interact with domestic and international political dynamics.

Key finding: Through analysis of 93 independence referendums since 1945, the study finds that most referendums have a strategic function rather than deciding independence outright. It proposes a typology based on consensus and timing,... Read more
Key finding: Focusing on the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), the paper analyses speeches by former President Masoud Barzani and shows how the KRI framed the 2017 referendum strategically to gain international recognition. The argument... Read more
Key finding: Based on direct observation, this study documents that the 2017 Kurdistan independence referendum, while framed as a unifying plebiscite, exposed and exacerbated existing political divisions within the Kurdish region. This... Read more
Key finding: Analyzing Montenegro's 2006 and Catalonia's 2014 referendums, the paper reveals how secessionist movements Europeanized their arguments by framing independence as compatible with EU membership goals. Despite different... Read more

2. What explains the variation in state responses to demands for independence referendums, as evident in cases like the UK’s accommodation of Scotland versus Spain’s resistance to Catalonia?

This theme examines the political, institutional, and ideational factors underpinning why some central governments accept negotiated independence referendums while others oppose them. It highlights how perceptions of political opportunity, constitutional configurations, and state conceptions (mononational vs. plurinational) shape government strategies toward such referendums, providing a nuanced framework to understand state behavior in the face of secession demands.

Key finding: Using a most similar systems design, this article finds that variation in state responses is best explained by political opportunity structures perceived by ruling parties, embedded within constitutional and ideational... Read more
Key finding: Though focusing on the deliberative-democratic link with referendums broadly, this article critically explores institutional innovations that might improve legitimacy in referendum contexts, which is relevant for governments'... Read more
Key finding: This paper argues that Catalonia's perceived 'stateless citizenship' and its demands for a 'right to decide' have led to a rescaling of the Spanish nation-state. The constitutional rigidity and refusal to accommodate these... Read more
Key finding: This analysis of the 2015 Catalan regional election, framed as a plebiscitary substitute for a legally blocked referendum, shows how electoral and political polarization complicated interpreting the vote as a clear mandate... Read more

3. What are the political consequences and democratic implications of bypassing or manipulating popular votes in referendums, including European cases?

This theme explores the effects of governments circumventing referendum outcomes or manipulating referendum processes, focusing on consequences for voter engagement, democratic legitimacy, and political stability. It addresses how such actions impact political participation, the rise of anti-system parties, and the erosion of trust in democratic institutions, highlighting important normative and empirical considerations for independence and other referendums.

Key finding: Analyzing detailed municipal-level election data post-2005 French EU Constitution referendum, this study finds that bypassing the referendum's negative outcome led to significant decreases in voter turnout, increases in blank... Read more
Key finding: Using expert survey data and a Direct Democracy Integrity Index, the article compares the referendum processes in Turkey and Italy, illustrating how manipulation in an authoritarian context (Turkey) can enhance... Read more
Key finding: This empirical analysis of US state-level data reveals that legislative-initiated referendums are primarily used by partisan legislative majorities to achieve combined political and policy goals, constrained by procedural... Read more

All papers in Independence Referendums

Title (EN) The Republic as a People’s Choice and Constituent Pact for the Future Abstract (IT) L’articolo riflette sul significato costituzionale e politico della Festa della Repubblica italiana, celebrata il 2 giugno, come momento... more
TITLE: Popular Self-Determination in the Digital Age: Between Regulatory and Technological Opportunities ABSTRACT [IT]: Il contributo, dopo una breve introduzione sui rischi e sulle opportunità derivanti dal processo di trasformazione... more
Patterns of Adjustment Associated with Academic Competence and Depressive Symptoms in Adolescence Kathleen M. Jodl Kai Schnabel Jacquelynne S. Eccles University of Michigan DO NOT CITE WITHOUT PERMISSION OF AUTHORS Presented at the... more
Hiszpania według Konstytucji z 1978 r. jest państwem unitarnym, choć jest administracyjnie podzielona na regiony autonomiczne. Duże aspiracje autonomiczne ma Kraj Basków. Przez lata koegzystencji w większych organizmach państwowych... more
Izvorni znanstv"eni rad UDK 340.12:1(09l)Hegel:l(091)1 lobbes Pisani ustav za Ujedinjeno kraljevstvo Velike Britanije i Sjeverne Irske -kraj jedne epohe ARSEN BAĆIĆ* Saže rak U tck.w se govori o vremenski otvorenoj ~kusiji treba li... more
Izvorni znanstv"eni rad UDK 340.12:1(09l)Hegel:l(091)1 lobbes Pisani ustav za Ujedinjeno kraljevstvo Velike Britanije i Sjeverne Irske -kraj jedne epohe ARSEN BAĆIĆ* Saže rak U tck.w se govori o vremenski otvorenoj ~kusiji treba li... more
Under the influence of an increasing interest in the issues of democracy, human rights, the growing globalization as well as its associated problems, a shift was noticed in the concept of self determination. The most important of these... more
Avec l'autorisation formelle de l'auteur de diffuser toutes ses publications dans Les Classiques des sciences sociales, le 16 mars 2006.
The author of this article focuses on presenting the resistance strategies undertaken by Scottish society in 1706. Their aim was to manifest opposition to the proposed Act of Union, which led to the formation of the United Kingdom. The... more
This paper is concerned with explaining the reason for and how the Serbian Orthodox Church (SOC) managed to influence the perceptions of half of the population in Montenegro, thereby impacting the voting outcome of the 2020 parliamentary... more
Title: From the snap election to the new coalition government: the evolution of the Spanish form of government Abstract [En]: This essay takes its cue from Spanish constitutional chronicle in 2023 for a critical and comparative... more
The Catalan Parliament elections held on September 27, 2015, for various reasons have been exceptional elections. In this article are analyzed the peculiarities that have surrounded the election, the results and their consequences.
This week has seen a clash between David Cameron and Scotland's First Minister' Alex Salmond over a referendum on Scottish independence. Looking at the three decades of conflict between Quebec's independence movement and the Canadian... more
The Smith Commission, the body tasked with recommending reforms to the governance of Scotland recently released its final report. Democratic Audit asked Scottish constitutional and political experts John Curtice, Katie Boyle and Stephen... more
Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Copyright for the publications made accessible via the Edinburgh Research Explorer is retained by the author(s) and / or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing these... more
Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Copyright for the publications made accessible via the Edinburgh Research Explorer is retained by the author(s) and / or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing these... more
Anyone interested in theories of federalism and European integration will find much to chew over in the books of Larsen, Tierney and López Bofill. They defend different theses from different prisms but taken together they may help us to... more
When should groups within a state be owed a process, such as a referendum, that can enable their secession or greater internal autonomy? Much of the prior normative literature has overlooked the constitutional theory context of this... more
This articles analyses political attitudes to the union in England, Scotland and Wales after the Scottish independence referendum. Using public opinion data we explore constitutional preferences and perceptions of national grievance... more
Las consultas populares en el Estatuto de Autonomía de Catalunya (EAC). IV.1. El art. 122 EAC. IV.2. La STC 31/2010 sobre el Estatuto de Autonomía de Cataluña y su pronunciamiento sobre el art. 122 EAC.-V. La Ley de Catalunya 4/2010, de... more
The current political and social debate about improving the quality of democracy has brought about a widespread questioning of the role of the so-called ‘active citizenship’ and the proposal of new forms of political participation beyond... more
In this special issue we will address some of the clichés present in the study of comparative federalism. In so doing we shall focus on little-explored federalising processes that are undergoing significant evolution or require different... more
If you were unlucky enough to come accross this paper, please keep in mind that this is a very preliminary version. At this point, we decline any responsability on the consequences of using the implications of our analysis in the real... more
Este libro explora cómo, tras la crisis financiera de 2008, el movimiento independentista catalán optó por una vía unilateral anticonstitucional para alcanzar la independencia. Este camino culminó en la Declaración Unilateral de... more
Vecchie regole dell’interpretazione normativa e “soluzioni politiche”. “Senso” della disciplina costituzionale del referendum approvativo e “intenzione del Costituente”. Connessione delle parole e del loro (comune) significato. L’adesione... more
A chronology of Indonesian military sponsored paramilitary and militia atrocities in East Timor from November 1998 to May 1999
(paper was published in May)
referenced from news sources listed on the ETAN news list
4 that engulfed Sudan since its independence in 1956. 5 The CPA was the immediate culmination of the negotiations that ended the hostility between the National Congress Party ("NCP") and the Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army... more
Más allá de las elecciones periódicas, es conocido que en Chile la Constitución Política de 1980 consagra escasas-por no decir meramente anecdóticas-instancias de participación directa de la ciudadanía en la toma de decisiones. No podía... more
En el seguent article es preten analitzar l’emergencia de l’esquerra independentista a Escocia, tot relacionat l’auge de l’independentisme amb processos mes amplis de resposta a la crisi sistemica que observem, no nomes en el pla de la... more
Analyse sous l'angle du droit international de la tentative du gouvernement français de modification du corps électoral de la Nouvelle-Calédonie. Cette modification constituerait un violation du droit des peuples à disposer d'eux-mêmes... more
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, or stored in any restricted system of any nature without the... more
Colonialism as a model of imperialism and governance had been ruling the currently so-called Global South for centuries. Colonialism is linked to violence, resource-grabbing and exploitation. The great empires of the West, after their... more
This chapter looks at potential legislative and non-legislative pathways for arriving at a national devolution settlement for Cornwall, and considers recent constitutional developments relating to the nation-regions of Scotland, Wales,... more
Public Services 2025 is hosted by Cardiff Business School and is a unique partnership between Cardiff University and five national bodies in Wales: the Welsh Local Government Association, SOLACE Wales, the Welsh NHS Confederation, the... more
2018 is a watershed year for devolution in Wales. From this year forward, each annual budget will now incorporate decisions on Welsh taxes, borrowing for capital expenditure, and any use of a new facility called the Welsh Reserve. In... more
El declive del Procés puede comportar un retroceso de su proyecto de liberalización de un nacionalismo tradicional y potencialmente étnico. Una vez que el independentismo catalán deja de estar en el foco de atención, es posible que... more
This article explores the uses of popular music as a propaganda tool during political events in Montenegro’s recent past. The ruling Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) employed music as part of their propaganda campaign during the 2006... more
The Spanish nation-state is gradually being rescaled by Catalonia's "secession crisis." Recently and dramatically, in the aftermath of the "illegal" and "constitutive referendum" that took place on 1 October 2017, 2,286,217 Catalan... more
Separatists in Eastern Ukraine are planning to stage an independence referendum in Ukraine this weekend, despite criticism from the international community. With comparisons to international comparisons held in a number of other states,... more
У книзі подано аналіз практики правового регулювання місцевими радами територіальних громад порядку проведення громадських слухань, загальних зборів громадян за місцем проживання та порядку реалізації місцевої ініціативи. Автори книги... more
September 2022 marks twenty-five years since the referendum on the creation of the Scottish Parliament. From the early days of devolution, debates over Holyrood's tax powers have been a recurring theme. Recent reforms to the Parliament's... more
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