Key research themes
1. How has China’s strategic calculus shaped its Taiwan policy in terms of military preparedness and political objectives?
This research theme examines the nuanced calculations Beijing undertakes regarding potential military action on Taiwan, focusing on the comprehensive set of strategic, political, military, and economic indicators influencing Xi Jinping’s decision-making. It also explores the balance Beijing attempts between peaceful reunification ambitions and military deterrence or coercion as tools of policy, reflecting both continuity and intensification under Xi’s leadership. Understanding this dynamic is critical given Taiwan’s centrality as a flashpoint in China’s foreign and defense policies.
2. What roles do economic statecraft and soft power influence play in China's expanding foreign policy framework, especially in the Global South and Europe?
This theme addresses China’s multifaceted strategy to assert influence globally through infrastructure projects like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), media and cultural diplomacy, and strategic economic partnerships. It also considers challenges China faces, including mixed receptions in different regions and the recalibration of policies in response to Western responses or internal constraints. This area reveals how China’s foreign policy balances economic incentives with geopolitical ambitions and soft power projection.
3. How do power dynamics and realist strategic considerations explain China's behavior in the Asia-Pacific security environment?
This theme explores the applicability of offensive realism in explaining China’s strategic preferences and military modernization. It contrasts material power-based approaches with ideational or domestic explanations, arguing that systemic factors such as anarchy and relative power shape China's grand strategy, naval ambitions, and coercive behaviors. This theoretical approach offers a parsimonious yet robust framework to interpret China’s security policy and regional assertiveness.