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Aggregate Productivity

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Aggregate productivity refers to the total output of goods and services produced in an economy relative to the total input of labor and capital. It measures the efficiency with which economic resources are utilized, reflecting the overall health and performance of an economy.
lightbulbAbout this topic
Aggregate productivity refers to the total output of goods and services produced in an economy relative to the total input of labor and capital. It measures the efficiency with which economic resources are utilized, reflecting the overall health and performance of an economy.

Key research themes

1. What are the sectoral interdependencies and their roles in shaping aggregate productivity growth?

This research area emphasizes understanding how productivity growth in individual industries interacts through input-output linkages and affects overall aggregate productivity. It matters because industries are interconnected, and productivity improvements in one sector can propagate across the economy via supply chains. Capturing these inter-sectoral spillovers and structural linkages provides a more accurate assessment of aggregate productivity dynamics and suggests more targeted policy interventions to boost economic growth.

Key finding: Utilizing Domar aggregation, this study shows that aggregate productivity growth in Brazil over 2000-2014 was hampered not only by industry's own negative productivity growth—especially the manufacturing sector—but also by... Read more
Key finding: Firm-level analysis reveals severe misallocation of labor across service firms in Latin America and the Caribbean, compounded by low productivity at the firm-level itself, which depresses aggregate productivity. This... Read more
Key finding: Using semi-parametric methods, this paper decomposes multifactor productivity and quantifies allocative efficiency across Serbian industrial enterprises. It finds that allocative efficiency varied regionally and sectorally,... Read more

2. How do methodological choices in productivity measurement impact the accuracy of aggregate productivity growth decompositions?

This theme investigates the implications of measurement approaches, especially regarding firm-level productivity aggregation and decomposition methods. Since productivity is widely studied via decompositions at micro and macro levels, choices like using log transformations or aggregation techniques can lead to distortions in estimating overall productivity growth and its micro-sources. Understanding these methodological effects is crucial for researchers and policymakers relying on productivity decomposition for economic analysis and decision-making.

Key finding: The paper analytically and empirically demonstrates that common practices of using log-transformed productivity values in growth decompositions induce significant distortions that misrepresent aggregate productivity growth... Read more
Key finding: The OECD manual provides a comprehensive, non-parametric framework focused on the measurement of productivity growth at the industry level and across sectors. It discusses methodological standards, including output, labor,... Read more
Key finding: This study empirically tests the central neoclassical assumption underlying aggregate production functions—that capital intensity decreases with increasing cost of capital—and rejects it in microeconomic data. It concludes... Read more

3. What are the drivers and constraints of aggregate productivity dynamics across countries, particularly in the context of economic growth and structural change?

This area focuses on macro-level determinants of productivity growth including total factor productivity slowdowns, sectoral reallocation, human capital, innovation, and economic policies. It integrates country-level case studies and global analyses to understand how factors such as demography, crisis legacies, sectoral composition, technological progress, and institutional environments influence the trajectory of aggregate productivity and sustainable economic growth.

Key finding: The study finds that labor productivity growth in major advanced countries has slowed mainly due to decelerations in total factor productivity (TFP). In Japan, inefficiencies such as underutilization of technological... Read more
Key finding: This IMF Staff Discussion Note documents a broad, persistent global slowdown in TFP growth post-global financial crisis across advanced, emerging, and low-income countries. It highlights crisis legacies including balance... Read more
Key finding: Using the Slovenian economy as a case study, this paper shows that despite a contraction in bank lending following the financial crisis, TFP growth was sustained and strengthened through increased human capital, innovation... Read more
Key finding: By decomposing total factor productivity growth into technological progress and technical efficiency changes using stochastic frontier analysis, this research reveals that output growth in Indonesia’s manufacturing was... Read more
Key finding: This paper evaluates Poland’s growth dynamics in the context of the Middle-Income Trap (MIT). It identifies that although Poland benefitted from low labor costs, technology imports, and EU funding during the transition to... Read more

All papers in Aggregate Productivity

which will appear three times a year. The bulletin will highlight the results of in-house research done at the Czech National Bank. Given that maintaining exchange rate stability in the context of joining the EU is one of the key concerns... more
This research was aimed at establishing the viability of the quarry business using comparative analysis between Afrimine Quarry and Jolex Construction sited Plateau State. The results revealed that the total production of aggregates in... more
In the following manuscript we describe the implementation of a method for calculating relative free energies for a general force eld (A simple, robust and ecient method for calculating relative free energies). The following is a... more
The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been... more
This paper investigates the determinants of longevity at a macroeconomic level, emphasizing the important role played by education. To analyze the determinants of longevity, we build a model where households intentionally invest in health... more
We argue that education exerts positive external effects on health, beyond the standard internal effects documented in the literature. We put forward a model that clarifies the links between education and longevity in the presence of such... more
This paper investigates the nature of the aggregate production function of health services. We build a model to analyze the role of public policy in determining social health outcomes, taking into account households choices concerning... more
and two referees for helpful comments and suggestions, and to Jim Hirabayashi of the USPTO for useful information regarding some data sources. The second author wishes to acknowledge the financial support of the Australian Research... more
The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations... more
We present a general equilibrium dynamic model, which focuses on how the heterogeneity in sector productivity affects the macroeconomic equilibrium. In the model, individuals endogenously choose whether to invest in their education and... more
Through their influence on the cross-sectional distribution of productivity across firms and workers, job creation and destruction likely have an impact on the rate at which aggregate productivity changes over time. However, the nature of... more
The global silk industry, with a rich historical legacy, continues to evolve amidst changing dynamics. This study examines the international sericulture trade, focusing on major producers like China, India, and Italy. It analyzes... more
In present study seven RAPD primers were used to access the diversity within and among twelve populations of three mushroom species Ganoderma lucidum, leucoagaricus sp. and Lentinus sp. Total of 111 bands were scored by 7 RAPD primers in... more
Data on businesses collected by statistical agencies are challenging to protect. Many businesses have unique characteristics, and distributions of employment, sales, and profits are highly skewed. Attackers wishing to conduct... more
The literature has established two robust stylized facts: (i) the existence of a firm size-wage premium and (ii) a positive relationship between firm size and productivity. However, the existing evidence is mainly based on manufacturing,... more
Labor market prospects are better for skill-based immigrants than for other immigrants. However, skill-based admission is not a remedy for all the economic outcome problems of immigration, including weak economic integration. Designing... more
A common interest in gene expression data analysis is to identify from a large pool of candidate genes the genes that present significant changes in expression levels between a treatment and a control biological condition. Usually, it is... more
In most countries, statistical agencies do not release establishment-level business microdata because doing so represents too large a risk to establishments' confidentiality. One potential approach for overcoming these risks is to release... more
This paper contributes to the literature by computing the contribution of labor reallocation to productivity growth for the United States and Canada, using several different decomposition specifications, and applying a consistent approach... more
Rice genotypes tolerant to germination stage oxygen deficiency (GSOD) can reduce weed infestation and can help in maintaining optimum plant stand in direct-seeded rice. Out of 43 rainfed lowland rice genotypes, AC41620A with greater... more
We estimate constant returns or slightly decreasing returns at the industry level in the private U.S. economy over the past 30 years, using two separate industry datasets. An intuitive identity linking returns to scale, the markup, and... more
This paper develops a theory which investigates how firms' choice of corporate organization is affecting firm performance and the nature of competition in international markets. We develop a model in which firms' organisational choices... more
The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been... more
What Is a Register-based Census? • A register-based Census uses data from the administrative records to "fill the forms" • Most census frames are already maintained through a combination of enumeration and administrative records... more
In this paper, we use the econometric frontier approach to estimate efficiency measures of the transformation of human capital into earned income in the Chilean labor market for the period 1957-1998. We find that the mean efficiency is... more
The importance of investment to the individual, a nation and the world economy cannot be over emphasized. Investment involves the sacrifice of immediate consumption to achieve greater consumption in the future. The Nigerian banking sector... more
Abstract-Commencing with incandescent light bulb, every load today creates harmonics. Unfortunately, these loads vary with respect to their amount of harmonic content and response to problems caused by harmonics. The issue of harmonics is... more
U.S. labor and total-factor productivity growth slowed prior to the Great Recession. The timing rules out explanations that focus on disruptions during or since the recession, and industry and state data rule out "bubble economy" stories... more
We identify a family of discounted dynamic optimization problems in which the immediate return function depends on current consumption, capital input and a taste parameter. The usual monotonicity and concavity assumptions on the return... more
In the United States, the residential housing market went through important changes over the period from the 1970s to the mid-1990s. Although the aggregate homeownership rate was relatively stable during that period, the distribution of... more
is one of thepoorest economies in Africa that relies heavily on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow for growth. This study examines the impact of FDI on economic growth in Sierra Leone between 1990 and 2020 using time series data from... more
The availability of rich firm-level data set has recently led researchers to uncover an interesting set of empirical findings on the effects of trade liberalization. Trade openness forces the least productive firms to exit the market and... more
The capital income tax cuts that were part of the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 are expiring this year and the administration has to decide whether to extend them or not. This paper assesses the effects of these... more
When markets are incomplete, shareholders typically disagree on the …rm's optimal investment level. This paper studies the shareholders' preferences with respect to the …rm's investment level in a model with aggregate risk, incomplete... more
This paper studies policy in a class of economies in which information about commonlyrelevant fundamentals-such as aggregate productivity and demand conditions-is dispersed and can not be centralized by the government. In these economies,... more
This paper studies policy in a class of economies in which information about commonly-relevant fundamentals --such as aggregate productivity and demand conditions --is dispersed and can not be centralized by the government. In these... more
This paper studies policy in a class of economies in which information about commonly-relevant fundamentals --such as aggregate productivity and demand conditions --is dispersed and can not be centralized by the government. In these... more
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After some decades of relative oblivion, the interest in the optimality properties of monopolistic competition has recently re-emerged due to the availability of an appropriate and parsimonious framework to deal with firm heterogeneity.... more
After some decades of relative oblivion, the interest in the optimality properties of monopolistic competition has recently re-emerged due to the availability of an appropriate and parsimonious framework to deal with firm heterogeneity.... more
En este trabajo se evalúan los efectos ex-post del MAC 1994-1999 en Andalucía (España), los efectos directos e indirectos de las inversiones dentro de la región y los efectos fuga producidos hacia el resto del país (cross-border leakage).... more
This study seeks to determine the effects of an economic sector’s political power on the policies faced by its plants, its market survival probabilities, and finally, aggregate productivity. Data from the Colombian manufacturing sector at... more
This study seeks to determine the effects of an economic sector’s political power on the policies faced by its plants, its market survival probabilities, and finally, aggregate productivity. Data from the Colombian manufacturing sector at... more
The rational expectations equilibrium of a small open economy can be subject to indeterminacy if foreign monetary policy does not satisfy the Taylor principle. We study the implications of foreign-induced indeterminacy for the conduct of... more
In this paper we analyze technological change in the Spanish economy by constructing adjusted Solow residuals, where the adjustment attempts to correct for the bias associated with the potential presence of imperfect competition,... more
The present study examines cross-national and sectoral differences in multifactor productivity growth in sixteen European countries from 1995 to 2005. The main aim is to ascertain the role of flexible employment contracts and collective... more
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