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Actuarial Studies

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Actuarial Studies is a field of study that applies mathematical and statistical methods to assess risk in insurance, finance, and other industries. It involves the analysis of data to evaluate the likelihood of future events, enabling organizations to make informed decisions regarding risk management and financial planning.
lightbulbAbout this topic
Actuarial Studies is a field of study that applies mathematical and statistical methods to assess risk in insurance, finance, and other industries. It involves the analysis of data to evaluate the likelihood of future events, enabling organizations to make informed decisions regarding risk management and financial planning.

Key research themes

1. How can dependency structures among risks improve actuarial risk aggregation and modeling?

This theme investigates the incorporation of dependence between multiple risks, moving beyond the classical assumption of independence. Understanding and modeling dependencies, such as comonotonicity or strong positive dependence, is crucial because it affects the aggregate risk distribution and the adequacy of capital reserves. Accurately capturing dependencies can lead to improved pricing, reserving, and risk management in insurance and finance.

Key finding: Dhaene et al. (2002) formalize comonotonicity as a dependence structure representing perfect positive dependence among risks, showing that under comonotonicity the aggregate loss sum captures the worst-case risk scenario and... Read more
Key finding: The study by Harding and Quan (n.d.) identifies key exogenous economic variables and firm-specific financial variables that dynamically affect life insurers' financial performance, highlighting how dependencies between market... Read more
Key finding: Jarraya and Helmi (2016) analyze optimal asset allocation for insurers considering regulatory constraints (e.g., solvency) and market dependencies. Their work accounts for the interplay between investment assets and insurance... Read more

2. In what ways can big data and advanced modeling techniques enhance actuarial predictions in insurance?

This research theme examines how big data and computational advancements, especially machine learning and deep learning, contribute to refining actuarial models for risk assessment, pricing, and reserves estimation. Incorporating broader and more complex data sources enables actuaries to capture subtler patterns, leading to more accurate individual-level predictions, improved claims management, and adaptation to emerging risks.

Key finding: This paper by Bischi et al. (2020) reveals that big data analytics enhances actuarial capabilities by enabling insurers to integrate diverse datasets (e.g., telematics, socio-economic, climate) into pricing and risk models,... Read more
Key finding: Agbeko (2023) innovatively integrates a Gaussian distribution on the error term in the Modified Lee-Carter mortality model and applies deep neural networks for parameter estimation. This novel approach departs from... Read more
Key finding: Fischer et al. (2022) argue that individual claims models, supported by detailed granular data, allow actuaries to overcome limitations of traditional aggregate reserving methods like chain-ladder. They show that with... Read more

3. How can actuarial methods better integrate individual-level risk assessments and fairness considerations in pricing?

This theme explores challenges in translating group-level statistical risk estimates to individual clients and addressing fairness in actuarial pricing schemes. It includes methodological critique of wide confidence intervals in individual risk estimates, the notion of actuarial fairness, and proposals for utility-based pricing that can yield equitable treatment among heterogeneous policyholders.

Key finding: Monahan (2015) critiques the idea that actuarial risk assessments are too imprecise for individual-level decision-making due to wide confidence intervals. He dismantles this view by clarifying that actuarial probabilities are... Read more
Key finding: Jin et al. (n.d.) demonstrate that actuarial fairness based on expected values leads paradoxically to 'unfair' outcomes where individuals with higher survival probabilities statistically obtain superior annuity payoffs in... Read more
Key finding: This study (author not specified) stresses the challenges auditors face in validating actuarial reserve estimates for insurance companies due to limited domain expertise and reliance on third-party actuaries. It highlights... Read more

All papers in Actuarial Studies

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is no longer a futuristic concept confined to technology companies; it has steadily become a transformative force across industries, and the insurance sector is one of the most promising beneficiaries. Within... more
This article makes a bridge between the theory of optimal auditing and the scoring methodology in an asymmetric information setting. Our application is meant for insurance claims fraud, but it can be applied to many other activities that... more
Concern for risks that stifle investment and contribute to vulnerability of the rural poor is a driving force behind various types of agricultural insurance. Insuring small-scale farmers against crop losses to adverse weather or other... more
Employers should target “flexible employment,” not “phased retirement.” • When it comes to today’s older workers, many employers focus on cost - encouraging separation to minimize deferred/delayed retirement. • Cost-effective,... more
This paper aims at identifying the present situation of the health insurance policies in the rural areas of Bangladesh and explores factors for successful introduction of health insurance schemes for the households living in these areas.... more
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin... more
This paper introduces an infinite mixture model which can be used to fit the real data set for 1,296 observations. We also compare the result of the fit for three classical models (i.e. exponential, inverse exponential and lognormal... more
This paper introduces an infinite mixture model which can be used to fit the real data set for 1,296 observations. We also compare the result of the fit for three classical models (i.e. exponential, inverse exponential and lognormal... more
The focus of this article is to present the modelling tehcniques used on international practice in the evaluation of right life premiums based. The knowledge and models obtained have a common element of mortality risk indicators but these... more
In the context of a bright economy towards we aim the insurances represent are activity branch a services department with a financial character and with many valences. Beyond of the essential role of these is that the protection of the... more
An insurance system is a mechanism for reducing the adverse financial impact of random events that prevents the fulfillment of reasonable expectations, i.e. Insurance is designed to protect against serious financial reversals that may... more
Our study analyses the extent of integration of the EU market for life and non-life insurance. The main integration indicator used is the market share (premium based) of foreign companies in domestic markets. For the calculation of this... more
Our study analyses the extent of integration of the EU market for life and non-life insurance. The main integration indicator used is the market share (premium based) of foreign companies in domestic markets. For the calculation of this... more
In this paper, we have fitted two heavy tailed distributions viz the Weibull distribution and the Burr XII distribution to a set of Motor insurance claim data. As it is known, the probability of ruin is obtained as a solution to an... more
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin... more
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin... more
Catastrophic events are characterized by three main points: there are relatively rareness, there are statistical unexpected and there have huge impact on the whole society. Insurance or reinsurance is one way of reducing the economic... more
The article presents the techniques suitable for practical purposes in general insurance and reinsurance and demonstrates their application. It focuses mainly on modelling and simulations of claim amounts by means of mathematical and... more
The authors review conventional and customary international law respecting the right to self-determination, and conclude that that right is only applicable where the secessionist movement meets certain subjective criteria. First, the... more
In this paper, we approximate the aggregate claims process by using the translated gamma process under the classical risk model assumptions, and we investigate the ultimate ruin probability. We consider optimal reinsurance under the... more
In this paper, we introduce the alternative methods to estimation for the new weibull-pareto distribution parameters. We discussed of point estimation and interval estimation for parameters of the new weibull-pareto distribution. We have... more
Canonical correlation analysis merupakan suatu teknik analisis multivariat yang digunakan untuk menganalisis korelasi antara dua kelompok variabel, independen dan dependen. Canonical correlation analysis fokus pada korelasi antara... more
This paper attempts to investigate the impact of the profitability and liquidity on capital structure of insurance industry in Egypt as applied on a sample of (19) insurance firms represented in the Egyptian insurance industry over the... more
This article makes a bridge between the theory of optimal auditing and the scoring methodology in an asymmetric information setting. Our application is meant for insurance claims fraud, but it can be applied to many other activities that... more
When the insurance benefit of a last-survivor insurance product is payable at the moment of the last insured death, exploring continuous mortality models is essential to obtain the most appropriate premium and benefit reserve. In this... more
Purpose – Based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)-based insurance developed by the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries of Argentina (MAGyP) with technical assistance of the World Bank (WB), the purpose of... more
Hadirnya layanan jasa dari lembaga pembiayaan bertujuan untuk menyediakan alternatif pembiayaan pembelian barang yang diinginkan, salah satunya pembelian mobil. Perusahaan pembia-yaan mengandalkan perbankan dan lembaga keuangan guna... more
This research study proposes the inclusion of randomness or an error term in the modified Lee–Carter model, which improves the traditional Lee–Carter model for modeling and forecasting mortality risk for years in the actuarial science... more
The paper applies the methodologies proposed by Basel Committee on Banking Supervision for assessing the capital requirements in the context of operational risk to a Romanian commercial bank. The basic indicator, standard and internal... more
Actuaries model insurance claim amounts using heavy tailed probability distributions. They routinely need to evaluate quantities related to these distributions such as quantiles in the far right tail, moments or limited moments.... more
Although there are numerous studies on impact evaluation of overall health insurance, little is known on the impact of health insurance on health care utilization and out-of-pocket health care spending of children, especially in... more
Santiago Pulido, J.M. (2012). Cohesión social, capital social, conexiones sociales y repago en préstamos grupales: revisión de la evidencia reciente. Cuadernos de Economía, 31(58), 173-194. En los contratos de préstamo grupal, propios de... more
Tis research study proposes the inclusion of randomness or an error term in the modifed Lee-Carter model, which improves the traditional Lee-Carter model for modeling and forecasting mortality risk for years in the actuarial science feld.... more
In the context of a bright economy towards we aim the insurances represent are activity branch a services department with a financial character and with many valences. Beyond of the essential role of these is that the protection of the... more
Santiago Pulido, J.M. (2012). Cohesión social, capital social, conexiones sociales y repago en préstamos grupales: revisión de la evidencia reciente. Cuadernos de Economía, 31(58), 173-194. En los contratos de préstamo grupal, propios de... more
In the context of a bright economy towards we aim the insurances represent are activity branch a services department with a financial character and with many valences. Beyond of the essential role of these is that the protection of the... more
This study presents an estimation approach to non-life insurance claim counts relating to a specified time. The objective of this study is to estimate the parameters in non-life insurance claim counting process, including the homogeneous... more
The aim of this study is to propose an estimation approach to non-life insurance claim counts related to the insurance claim counting process, including the non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) with a bell-shaped intensity and a... more
The collapse of Colonial Life Insurance Company (Trinidad) Limited caused one of the most significant financial events in recent history in the Eastern Caribbean region. The significance of the groups collapse warranted the establishment... more
One stochastic process that is often used to model real phenomena is the compound Poisson process (CPP). CPP is a process in which a component in the process of the events occurred is assumed to be a Poisson process with a certain... more
An insurance system is a mechanism for reducing the adverse financial impact of random events that prevents the fulfillment of reasonable expectations, i.e. Insurance is designed to protect against serious financial reversals that may... more
This paper investigates whether gubernatorial elections affect state governments' accounting choices. We identify two accounts, the compensated absence liability account and the unfunded pension liability account, which provide incumbent... more
Randomisation tests (R-tests) are regularly proposed as an alternative method of hypothesis testing when assumptions of classical statistical methods are violated in data analysis. In this paper, the robustness in terms of the... more
The insurance program has developed quite rapidly and the products that are displayed are only very attractive from protection products to protection and investment products known as unit link insurance. In general, unit-linked insurance... more
Randomisation tests (R-tests) are regularly proposed as an alternative method of hypothesis testing when assumptions of classical statistical methods are violated in data analysis. In this paper, the robustness in terms of the... more
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