UK Hard Power: Strategic Ambivalence
Abstract
Over the past two decades, the relatively settled animosity of the Cold War has been replaced by a range of diverse, complex, and often very urgent security threats and challenges, albeit of a lesser scale. The 21st century is not proving to be as dangerous as some had feared, but neither is it as stable as many would wish.
References (20)
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- James Blitz, "Fox Claims 'Black Hole' of Defence Costs Eliminated," Financial Times, September 26, 2011, www.ft.com /cms/s/0/22559c66-e847-11e0-9fc7-00144feab49a.html# axzz3325j39Yh; and James Blitz, "MoD Plugs £38bn Budget 'Black Hole,'" Financial Times, May 14, 2012, www.ft.com /cms/s/0/efed7ef2-9de9-11e1-9a9e-00144feabdc0 .html#axzz3325j39Yh.
- UK Ministry of Defence, MoD Reveals £160 Billion Plan to Equip Armed Forces (January 31, 2013), www.gov.uk /government/news/mod-reveals-160-billion-plan-to-equip- armed-forces.
- Paul Cornish and Andrew Dorman, "Fifty Shades of Pur- ple? A Risk-Sharing Approach to the 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review," International Affairs 89, no. 5 (September 2013): 1183-1202, www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files /public/International%20Affairs/2013/89_5/89_5_06_Cornish- Dorman.pdf.
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- Cornish and Dorman, "Fifty Shades of Purple," 1187.
- All personnel data in figures 2-4 have been drawn from official UK publications. See UK Ministry of Defence, UK Defence Statistics Compendium (1998-2002); and UK Ministry of Defence, UK Defence Statistics Factsheets (2003-13), www.dasa .mod.uk/index.php/publications/UK-defence-statistics- compendium. Since a single, consistent data series on UK armed forces personnel strength is not readily available, person- nel data entries are best read as trend indicators rather than real values.
- For the purposes of this essay, land-force personnel include the regular, full-time strength of the British Army (as published) plus 6,000 to cover the nominal strength of the Royal Marines.
- For the purposes of this essay, naval personnel include the regular, full-time strength of the Royal Navy (as published) minus 6,000, representing the nominal strength of the Royal Marines counted in figure 2.
- For leading analysis on this subject, see Steven Bowns and Scott Gebicke, "From R&D Investment to Fighting Power, 25 Years Later," McKinsey on Government, no.5 (Spring 2010): 70-75, www.technology-futures.co.uk/MoG5_DefenseR%26D _VF.pdf.
- International Institute for Strategic Studies, "Chapter Four: Europe," The Military Balance 2011 111, no. 1 (2011): 160; and International Institute for Strategic Studies, "Chapter Four: Europe," The Military Balance 2012 112, no. 1 (2012): 172. 12. BBC News Middle East, "Iraq War in Figures," Decem- ber 14, 2011, www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-11107739.
- Ibid, 30.
- See UK Ministry of Defence, The Strategic Defence Review: A New Chapter (July 2002), www.comw.org/rma /fulltext/0207sdrvol1.pdf. 22. Ibid., 14.
- Policy Director, UK Ministry of Defence, The Defence White Paper & Operations in Iraq-Lessons for the Future (London: December 11, 2003), http://webcache.googleuser content.com/search?q=cache:http://webarchive.national archives.gov.uk/%2B/http:/www.mod.uk/publications /iraq_futurelessons/chap3.htm.
- UK Ministry of Defence, Delivering Security in a Changing World: White Paper (December 2003), 7, www.mocr.army .cz/images/Bilakniha/ZSD/UK%20Defence%20White% 20Paper%202003.pdf. 25. Ibid., 7.
- Her Majesty's Government, Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty: The Strategic Defence and Security Review (October 2010), www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads /attachment_data/file/62482/strategic-defence-security- review.pdf.
- Her Majesty's Government, A Strong Britain in an Age of Uncertainty: The National Security Strategy, 15; 18; 27, www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment _data/file/61936/national-security-strategy.pdf.
- Her Majesty's Government, The Strategic Defence and Security Review, 10-12. 29. Ibid., 19.
- House of Commons Defence Committee, Towards the Next Defence and Security Review: Part One (January 7, 2014), www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201314/cmselect /cmdfence/197/197.pdf.
- Paul Cornish, Strategy in Austerity: The Security and Defence of the United Kingdom (Chatham House, 2010), 23-24, www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/r1010_cornish.pdf. 32. General Sir Nick Houghton, "Annual Chief of the Defence Staff Lecture 2013" (lecture, RUSI, London, December 18, 2013), www.rusi.org/events/past/ref:E5284A3D06EFFD.