Academia.eduAcademia.edu

Outline

UK Hard Power: Strategic Ambivalence

Abstract

Over the past two decades, the relatively settled animosity of the Cold War has been replaced by a range of diverse, complex, and often very urgent security threats and challenges, albeit of a lesser scale. The 21st century is not proving to be as dangerous as some had feared, but neither is it as stable as many would wish.

References (20)

  1. UK Ministry of Defence, Strategic Defence Review (July 1998), 5, http://fissilematerials.org/library/mod98.pdf.
  2. James Blitz, "Fox Claims 'Black Hole' of Defence Costs Eliminated," Financial Times, September 26, 2011, www.ft.com /cms/s/0/22559c66-e847-11e0-9fc7-00144feab49a.html# axzz3325j39Yh; and James Blitz, "MoD Plugs £38bn Budget 'Black Hole,'" Financial Times, May 14, 2012, www.ft.com /cms/s/0/efed7ef2-9de9-11e1-9a9e-00144feabdc0 .html#axzz3325j39Yh.
  3. UK Ministry of Defence, MoD Reveals £160 Billion Plan to Equip Armed Forces (January 31, 2013), www.gov.uk /government/news/mod-reveals-160-billion-plan-to-equip- armed-forces.
  4. Paul Cornish and Andrew Dorman, "Fifty Shades of Pur- ple? A Risk-Sharing Approach to the 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review," International Affairs 89, no. 5 (September 2013): 1183-1202, www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files /public/International%20Affairs/2013/89_5/89_5_06_Cornish- Dorman.pdf.
  5. Ben Farmer, "Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan Were a 'Failure' Costing £29bn," Telegraph, May 28, 2014, www. telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/10859545/Wars-in-Iraq- and-Afghanistan-were-a-failure-costing-29bn.html.
  6. Cornish and Dorman, "Fifty Shades of Purple," 1187.
  7. All personnel data in figures 2-4 have been drawn from official UK publications. See UK Ministry of Defence, UK Defence Statistics Compendium (1998-2002); and UK Ministry of Defence, UK Defence Statistics Factsheets (2003-13), www.dasa .mod.uk/index.php/publications/UK-defence-statistics- compendium. Since a single, consistent data series on UK armed forces personnel strength is not readily available, person- nel data entries are best read as trend indicators rather than real values.
  8. For the purposes of this essay, land-force personnel include the regular, full-time strength of the British Army (as published) plus 6,000 to cover the nominal strength of the Royal Marines.
  9. For the purposes of this essay, naval personnel include the regular, full-time strength of the Royal Navy (as published) minus 6,000, representing the nominal strength of the Royal Marines counted in figure 2.
  10. For leading analysis on this subject, see Steven Bowns and Scott Gebicke, "From R&D Investment to Fighting Power, 25 Years Later," McKinsey on Government, no.5 (Spring 2010): 70-75, www.technology-futures.co.uk/MoG5_DefenseR%26D _VF.pdf.
  11. International Institute for Strategic Studies, "Chapter Four: Europe," The Military Balance 2011 111, no. 1 (2011): 160; and International Institute for Strategic Studies, "Chapter Four: Europe," The Military Balance 2012 112, no. 1 (2012): 172. 12. BBC News Middle East, "Iraq War in Figures," Decem- ber 14, 2011, www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-11107739.
  12. Ibid, 30.
  13. See UK Ministry of Defence, The Strategic Defence Review: A New Chapter (July 2002), www.comw.org/rma /fulltext/0207sdrvol1.pdf. 22. Ibid., 14.
  14. Policy Director, UK Ministry of Defence, The Defence White Paper & Operations in Iraq-Lessons for the Future (London: December 11, 2003), http://webcache.googleuser content.com/search?q=cache:http://webarchive.national archives.gov.uk/%2B/http:/www.mod.uk/publications /iraq_futurelessons/chap3.htm.
  15. UK Ministry of Defence, Delivering Security in a Changing World: White Paper (December 2003), 7, www.mocr.army .cz/images/Bilakniha/ZSD/UK%20Defence%20White% 20Paper%202003.pdf. 25. Ibid., 7.
  16. Her Majesty's Government, Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty: The Strategic Defence and Security Review (October 2010), www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads /attachment_data/file/62482/strategic-defence-security- review.pdf.
  17. Her Majesty's Government, A Strong Britain in an Age of Uncertainty: The National Security Strategy, 15; 18; 27, www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment _data/file/61936/national-security-strategy.pdf.
  18. Her Majesty's Government, The Strategic Defence and Security Review, 10-12. 29. Ibid., 19.
  19. House of Commons Defence Committee, Towards the Next Defence and Security Review: Part One (January 7, 2014), www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201314/cmselect /cmdfence/197/197.pdf.
  20. Paul Cornish, Strategy in Austerity: The Security and Defence of the United Kingdom (Chatham House, 2010), 23-24, www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/r1010_cornish.pdf. 32. General Sir Nick Houghton, "Annual Chief of the Defence Staff Lecture 2013" (lecture, RUSI, London, December 18, 2013), www.rusi.org/events/past/ref:E5284A3D06EFFD.