Books by Oskar Pietrewicz
Doniesienia o kolejnych próbach nuklearnych i rakietowych Korei Północnej, stanie zdrowia jej prz... more Doniesienia o kolejnych próbach nuklearnych i rakietowych Korei Północnej, stanie zdrowia jej przywódcy, napięciach na linii KRLD–USA, postawie Chin wobec północnokoreańskiego sąsiada i dylematach polityki Korei Południowej wzbudzają zainteresowanie zarówno kręgów eksperckich, jak i opinii publicznej. Sytuacja na Półwyspie Koreańskim zyskuje na znaczeniu w warunkach pogłębiającej się globalnej rywalizacji Chin i USA. Tłumacząc zawiłości amerykańsko-chińskiego sporu o Koreę, Oskar Pietrewicz pokazuje, że koreańskie problemy są tak złożone, że niemożliwe jest rozwiązanie ich w sposób jednostronny, bez uwzględnienia interesów Chin, USA oraz Korei Południowej i Korei Północnej.
kontakty z Chinami od początku istnienia zrębów koreańskiej państwowości są najpoważniejszym argu... more kontakty z Chinami od początku istnienia zrębów koreańskiej państwowości są najpoważniejszym argumentem w niesłabnącym sporze o to, czy Korea narodziła się jako samodzielny byt czy produkt rozprzestrzeniania się cywilizacji chińskiej. 13 Koreańska nazwa Joseon pochodzi z chińskiej nazwy chaoxian (świeży poranek), odnotowanej w chińskich księgach z III w. p.n.e.
Papers by Oskar Pietrewicz
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
President Yoon Suk-yeol’s declaration of martial law on 3-4 December has triggered the most serio... more President Yoon Suk-yeol’s declaration of martial law on 3-4 December has triggered the most serious crisis in the democratic history of the Republic of Korea. Although in place only briefly, its overturning and the beginning of impeachment proceedings by parliament on 14 December means that the president has been suspended of his powers and the case referred to the Constitutional Court, which is expected to proceed on Yoon’s removal from office within six months. The difficult political situation will temporarily limit South Korea’s ability to act internationally, including establishing direct contacts with the incoming U.S. administration.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
The involvement of North Korean troops on the side of Russia in the war against Ukraine represent... more The involvement of North Korean troops on the side of Russia in the war against Ukraine represents an escalation of the conflict. Regardless of the scale and scope of North Korean support, the very deployment of his forces demonstrates Kim Jong Un’s determination to strengthen his alliance with Russia and derive further political, economic, and military benefits from it. The deepening of Russian-North Korean cooperation should provide an additional argument for strengthening NATO’s cooperation with Asian partners, especially South Korea.
Policy Paper, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
In the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, security and defence issues have ... more In the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, security and defence issues have assumed a more prominent role in Polish-South Korean relations. However, for these issues to become a pillar of their strategic partnership, it is essential to understand what divides the two countries, including in their perceptions of threats. Deepening existing cooperation is contingent upon embedding it in a broader strategic framework that encompasses security interdependence between Europe and East Asia.
Spotlight, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
On 1 October, following elections within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), Japan’s parli... more On 1 October, following elections within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), Japan’s parliament approved the new government headed by prime minister Ishiba Shigeru. His election reflects a shift in the balance of power within the LDP, which has been dominated for years by the faction led by the former prime minister Abe Shinzo. In terms of foreign policy, the new government is likely to continue efforts to strengthen Japan’s role in the regional security environment. The future of the Ishiba government will be determined by the outcome of the snap parliamentary elections scheduled for 27 October.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
Japan is the first non-NATO country to sign a bilateral security agreement with Ukraine. The agre... more Japan is the first non-NATO country to sign a bilateral security agreement with Ukraine. The agreement, modelled on those of other G7 members, focuses on non-lethal arms supplies, humanitarian and economic assistance, and enhanced political dialogue on security issues. The convergence of views on Russia’s policy and the potential to support Ukraine creates an opportunity for Poland and NATO to deepen their cooperation with Japan.
Polityka zagraniczna Polski wobec Japonii i Korei Południowej
Rocznik Polskiej Polityki Zagranicznej 2022, 2024
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
Vladimir Putin visited North Korea and Vietnam on 19-20 June. The result of the Russian leader's ... more Vladimir Putin visited North Korea and Vietnam on 19-20 June. The result of the Russian leader's first visit to the DPRK in 24 years included the signing of a treaty on comprehensive strategic partnership, including mutual military assistance. The visit to Vietnam focused on economic issues. The strengthening of Russia’s ties with Asian partners indicates that it wants to influence the security environment not only in Europe but also in East Asia, and in the face of sanctions, replace economic relations with the West with contacts with developing countries.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
The first summit in almost five years between the prime ministers of China and Japan and the pres... more The first summit in almost five years between the prime ministers of China and Japan and the president of South Korea (CJK), held in Seoul on 26-27 May, was primarily devoted to enhancing economic cooperation. The return to this format was made possible by the easing of tensions between the three countries. The apparent divergence of positions on regional and global security between China on one side and Japan and South Korea on the other remains the most serious obstacle to their trilateral cooperation. However, the two U.S. allies recognise that dialogue with China can serve their economic interests and de-escalate tensions.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
As a result of Russia’s veto in the United Nations Security Council, the Panel of Experts monitor... more As a result of Russia’s veto in the United Nations Security Council, the Panel of Experts monitoring the implementation of sanctions on North Korea ceased to operate at the end of April this year. This is another sign of the weakening of UN sanctions on North Korea and a severe blow to international efforts to curb the development of the regime’s nuclear and missile arsenal. The U.S., its allies, and partners face the task of developing new mechanisms to monitor sanctions, most likely outside the UN system.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
The first state visit of the Japanese prime minister to the United States in nine years served to... more The first state visit of the Japanese prime minister to the United States in nine years served to adjust mutual relations to the threats and challenges arising from China’s growing potential, the development of North Korea’s nuclear and missile arsenals, and Russia’s aggression against Ukraine. It also was an opportunity to strengthen multilateral cooperation in the Pacific, as exemplified by the first-ever trilateral summit of the leaders of the U.S., Japan, and the Philippines. Further bilateral and multilateral cooperation will contribute to the stabilisation of East Asia, but may be hampered by a possible isolationist course in U.S. foreign policy after the presidential elections.
Spotlight, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
In South Korea’s parliamentary elections held on 10 April, the opposition Democratic Party won 17... more In South Korea’s parliamentary elections held on 10 April, the opposition Democratic Party won 175 seats in the 300-seat National Assembly. Its victory will make it much more difficult for President Yoon Suk-yeol, of the People’s Power Party, to achieve his domestic policy goals by the end of his term in 2027. It may also affect South Korea’s foreign policy in the long run, manifesting in less-explicit siding with the U.S. in its rivalry with China and moving away from the socially contested rapprochement with Japan.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
Although North Korea is economically dependent on China, its influence on the policies of the reg... more Although North Korea is economically dependent on China, its influence on the policies of the regime in Pyongyang is limited. Challenges to Chinese interests include the development of the North Korean missile and nuclear capabilities and its growing cooperation with Russia. North Korea’s policy increases the risk of destabilisation in East Asia and leads to closer cooperation between South Korea and Japan with the U.S. To counter these developments, China may use this year’s 75th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations to intensify political contacts with North Korea.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2024
Inter-Korean relations have deteriorated significantly over the past year. The Republic of Korea ... more Inter-Korean relations have deteriorated significantly over the past year. The Republic of Korea and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea have been pursuing an openly hostile policy towards each other. In addition to confrontational rhetoric, they have been expanding military capabilities and developing cooperation with allies and partners (South Korea with the U.S. and Japan, North Korea with Russia and China). Potential destabilisation on the Korean peninsula would be unfavourable for Poland, as it could, among other things, induce the U.S. to become more involved in East Asia at the expense of Eastern Europe.Inter-Korean relations have deteriorated significantly over the past year. The Republic of Korea and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea have been pursuing an openly hostile policy towards each other. In addition to confrontational rhetoric, they have been expanding military capabilities and developing cooperation with allies and partners (South Korea with the U.S. and Japan, North Korea with Russia and China). Potential destabilisation on the Korean peninsula would be unfavourable for Poland, as it could, among other things, induce the U.S. to become more involved in East Asia at the expense of Eastern Europe.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2023
The U.S., Japan, and South Korea are seeking to deepen trilateral cooperation in response to chal... more The U.S., Japan, and South Korea are seeking to deepen trilateral cooperation in response to challenges and threats from North Korea and China. This cooperation was demonstrated at the summit of the leaders of the three countries at Camp David in August. The most severe constraint on cooperation between them in the years ahead may be internal changes and the high degree of economic ties between Japan, South Korea, and China. The mobilisation of allies by the U.S. in its rivalry with China could also lead to an intensification of tensions in East Asia.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2023
Kim Jong Un’s visit to Russia from 12 to 17 September was the North Korean leader’s longest forei... more Kim Jong Un’s visit to Russia from 12 to 17 September was the North Korean leader’s longest foreign trip since he took power in 2011 and the first since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Meetings with Russian government officials, including Vladimir Putin, confirm the deepening of bilateral relations following the launch of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine. While the visit was primarily of political-propaganda significance, it could mean closer military cooperation between North Korea and Russia. This would increase Russia’s ability to continue the war in Ukraine and the risk of destabilisation in East Asia.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2023
The participation of the leaders of Australia, Japan, South Korea, and New Zealand (AP4) at the N... more The participation of the leaders of Australia, Japan, South Korea, and New Zealand (AP4) at the NATO summit in Vilnius in July this year confirmed that the Alliance recognises the interdependence of the security of the Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific areas. The organisation intends to develop cooperation with the AP4 in cybersecurity, new technologies, and combating hybrid threats, among others. Challenges to collaboration include the divergent positions among NATO countries and its Indo-Pacific partners in their approach to China. It is in Poland’s interest to support the Alliance’s cooperation with the AP4 without weakening NATO’s commitments in Europe.
South Korea’s Vision of “Global Pivotal State” Runs Through Ukraine
Korea On Point, 2023
Deciding to visit Kyiv, President Yoon Suk-yeol wanted to strengthen the Republic of Korea’s cred... more Deciding to visit Kyiv, President Yoon Suk-yeol wanted to strengthen the Republic of Korea’s credibility as a “global pivotal state” and support South Korean companies in entering reconstruction projects in post-war Ukraine. Accomplishing both objectives will face challenges.
Bulletin, The Polish Institute of International Affairs, 2023
The 10th EU-Republic of Korea Summit, held on 22 May in Seoul, reaffirmed the importance of South... more The 10th EU-Republic of Korea Summit, held on 22 May in Seoul, reaffirmed the importance of South Korea as a critical Asian partner of the Union. The meeting also signalled the growing importance of security issues in bilateral relations. South Korea shares the EU’s assessment of Russian aggression against Ukraine and intends to continue to support the invaded country, but not with supplies of military equipment for now. The announcement of a “green” partnership indicates both sides’ willingness to engage in other areas of cooperation, which also will benefit the development of Polish-South Korean relations.
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Books by Oskar Pietrewicz
Papers by Oskar Pietrewicz