Yakov Faitelson
Yakov Faitelson holds a degree from Kaunas Polytechnic Institute in Computer Sciences and Mathematics (MSc). In 2013, he was awarded the Honorary Professorship of International Solomon University, Kyiv, Ukraine.
In January 2007, he became the author and Fellow of the Israeli Institute for Zionist Strategies (IZS).
In September 2019, he became a Research Associate at the Israeli Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
On October 19, 2020, he joined the working group of the Ben-Gurion Institute for the Study of Israel and Zionism and the Institute for National Security Studies on Demography and Immigration in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.
He was one of the heads of the Aliya movement in Lithuania and the USSR (1969-1971) and one of the First 3-day Hunger Strike organizers of 32 Jews from Lithuania and Latvia for Aliya in the building of the Central Telegraph in Moscow in May 1971.
He served as Engineer and Head of Data Processing Systems for Nuclear Physics and Medical Diagnostic Requirements (1972-1976) and then as Head of the Data Processing Team at the Engineering Department of the Medical plant, Elscint Ltd (1976-1978).
He was Head of the R&D Team for Automatic Testing Systems, Tadiran Communications Ltd (1978-1981).
From October 6, 1973, to March 1974, he was mobilized and participated in the Yom Kippur War.
He became involved in political activities in 1975 with "The New Israel" movement under the leadership of engineer Yosef Doriel and professor Ezra Zohar. In 1977, he participated in the Knesset election campaign for the Shlomtzion movement, founded by General Ariel Sharon. From 1978 to 1988, he was a member of the Central Committee of the Likud party after the Shlomtzion movement joined it. In 1988, he left Likud and joined the Thiya movement, led by Professor Yuval Ne'eman and Geula Cohen. In 1991, he ran for the Knesset in 5th place on the Thiya movement's list.
In August 1978, he was one of the first three families to settle in the mountains of Samaria on the territory of the future city of Ariel.
He served as the first Mayor of Ariel and the Chairman of the Local Planning and Building Committee (1981-1985), a member of the Board of Directors of Israel Electric Company, and the Chairman of the Board Committee for Computerization of the IEC (1990-1993), the Chairman of the Committee for Electrification of Judea and Samaria at the Ministry for Energetics (1991), the General Director of the Industrial Park Barkan (1988-1993), consultant for development of the town Kiryat Arba (1990) and several other senior positions in Israel.
He also served as a Representative and Director for special projects of the American Jewish Joint Distribution Committee in the Former Soviet Union (1998-2011) and as Head of the JAFI Representative Office for Ukraine (2012-2013).
From 1981 to the present, he has written about 500 articles (in Hebrew, Russian, and English) on the demographics of the Land of Israel and other issues connected to the state of Israel and the history of Middle Eastern countries.
Faitelson is the author of "Demographic Trends in the Land of Israel, 1800-2007" (2008), "The Demographic Trends and their implications for the education system in Israel" (2011), "Does population density threaten Israel?" (2018), and other papers published in Hebrew in the framework of the Israeli Institute for Zionist Strategies (2007-2018). His articles were also published in Russian by the Moscow Institute for Middle East Studies and the Institute of Oriental Studies (IMES and RAS, 2007-2019), the magazine "Демоскоп Weekly" of the Moscow Institute of Demography, Higher School of Economics named after A.G. Vishnevsky, in English by the Middle East Quarterly (2009-2020), and by different newspapers, magazines, and various Internet sites in Israel, Russia, Ukraine, and the USA.
During the 1988 Knesset Election Campaign (October 1988), the "Dahaf" Agency invited Faitelson to serve as a consultant on Demography for Benjamin Netanyahu.
He was invited and served as a demographic Consultant on the Jerusalem 5800 Conceptual master plan team (2010-2015).
Phone: +972545657370
Address: SHEVET LEVI 10/21
In January 2007, he became the author and Fellow of the Israeli Institute for Zionist Strategies (IZS).
In September 2019, he became a Research Associate at the Israeli Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
On October 19, 2020, he joined the working group of the Ben-Gurion Institute for the Study of Israel and Zionism and the Institute for National Security Studies on Demography and Immigration in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.
He was one of the heads of the Aliya movement in Lithuania and the USSR (1969-1971) and one of the First 3-day Hunger Strike organizers of 32 Jews from Lithuania and Latvia for Aliya in the building of the Central Telegraph in Moscow in May 1971.
He served as Engineer and Head of Data Processing Systems for Nuclear Physics and Medical Diagnostic Requirements (1972-1976) and then as Head of the Data Processing Team at the Engineering Department of the Medical plant, Elscint Ltd (1976-1978).
He was Head of the R&D Team for Automatic Testing Systems, Tadiran Communications Ltd (1978-1981).
From October 6, 1973, to March 1974, he was mobilized and participated in the Yom Kippur War.
He became involved in political activities in 1975 with "The New Israel" movement under the leadership of engineer Yosef Doriel and professor Ezra Zohar. In 1977, he participated in the Knesset election campaign for the Shlomtzion movement, founded by General Ariel Sharon. From 1978 to 1988, he was a member of the Central Committee of the Likud party after the Shlomtzion movement joined it. In 1988, he left Likud and joined the Thiya movement, led by Professor Yuval Ne'eman and Geula Cohen. In 1991, he ran for the Knesset in 5th place on the Thiya movement's list.
In August 1978, he was one of the first three families to settle in the mountains of Samaria on the territory of the future city of Ariel.
He served as the first Mayor of Ariel and the Chairman of the Local Planning and Building Committee (1981-1985), a member of the Board of Directors of Israel Electric Company, and the Chairman of the Board Committee for Computerization of the IEC (1990-1993), the Chairman of the Committee for Electrification of Judea and Samaria at the Ministry for Energetics (1991), the General Director of the Industrial Park Barkan (1988-1993), consultant for development of the town Kiryat Arba (1990) and several other senior positions in Israel.
He also served as a Representative and Director for special projects of the American Jewish Joint Distribution Committee in the Former Soviet Union (1998-2011) and as Head of the JAFI Representative Office for Ukraine (2012-2013).
From 1981 to the present, he has written about 500 articles (in Hebrew, Russian, and English) on the demographics of the Land of Israel and other issues connected to the state of Israel and the history of Middle Eastern countries.
Faitelson is the author of "Demographic Trends in the Land of Israel, 1800-2007" (2008), "The Demographic Trends and their implications for the education system in Israel" (2011), "Does population density threaten Israel?" (2018), and other papers published in Hebrew in the framework of the Israeli Institute for Zionist Strategies (2007-2018). His articles were also published in Russian by the Moscow Institute for Middle East Studies and the Institute of Oriental Studies (IMES and RAS, 2007-2019), the magazine "Демоскоп Weekly" of the Moscow Institute of Demography, Higher School of Economics named after A.G. Vishnevsky, in English by the Middle East Quarterly (2009-2020), and by different newspapers, magazines, and various Internet sites in Israel, Russia, Ukraine, and the USA.
During the 1988 Knesset Election Campaign (October 1988), the "Dahaf" Agency invited Faitelson to serve as a consultant on Demography for Benjamin Netanyahu.
He was invited and served as a demographic Consultant on the Jerusalem 5800 Conceptual master plan team (2010-2015).
Phone: +972545657370
Address: SHEVET LEVI 10/21
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מאמר מפורט יותר פורסם ב-21 לנובמבר 2018 כאן:
האם צפיפות האוכלוסין מאיימת על ישראל? – המכון לאסטרטגיה ציונית (izs.org.il)
וגם כאן:
(PDF) ?האם צפיפות האוכלוסין מאיימת על ישראל | Yakov Faitelson - Academia.edu
ראיון עם פרופסור יעקב פייטלסון בנושא המהפך ביחסי הילודה של היהודים והערבים במדינת ישראל
Прогнозы о катастрофе, ожидающей страну вследствие взрыва арабской демографической бомбы, оказались ошибочными. Такой результат не был случайным.
Лучшее определение истинному значению апокалиптических антиизраильских прогнозов дала египетская исследовательница Биссан Эдван, опубликовавшая в 2004 году работу под названием «Демографическая бомба - самообман». Среди прочего, Эдван писала, что еврейская иммиграция скомпенсировала высокий естественный прирост палестинского населения, в котором наблюдаются негативный постоянный миграционный баланс и неуклонно снижающийся уровень рождаемости.
Анализ развития международного положения Израиля, начиная с договора эмира Фейсала с профессором Хаимом Вейцманом в 1918 году, через ситуацию, приведшей к провозглашению независимого Еврейского Государства, и до международных событий на февраль 2021 года.
בהזמנות לחברי הפורום כתב פרופסור אשר מאיר את הדברים הבאים:
מרצה אורח יעקב פייטלסון יציג את המחקר שלו על מגמות ארוכות טווח בילודה באוכלוסיות שונות בישראל. פייטלסון היה בין הראשונים להבחין בשינוי המגמה ביחסי הילודה בין ערבים ויהודים בישראל, ולפני עשרות שנים חזה את ההתייצבות המתרחשת. בהרצאה הוא יציג את המחקר שלו על המגמות האלו, על הגורמים העשויים להשפיע על המעבר הדמוגרפי בעתיד, ועל האתגרים העתידיים למדיניות מייצבת וצודקת כלפי המיעוטים בישראל
13.07.2021
В этом выпуске разговор с общественным и политическим деятелем, исследователем демографических процессов в Израиле Яковом Файтельсоном.
Коротко о новом правительстве Израиля и перспективах его политического выживания.
О демографии современного Израиля с экскурсом в прошлое и видением будущего.
Факты вместо домыслов и намеренного искажения реального положения дел.
Станут ли евреи меньшинством в своей стране?
Профессор Яков Файтельсон расскажет о разных сферах своей деятельности в Израиле. Яков Файтельсон был первым мэром города Ариэль и создал промышленную зону Баркан. В течение ряда лет он руководил отделением СОХНУТА на Украине. Яков Файтельсон создавал общинные еврейские Дома в Петербурге и во многих других городах бывшего СССР. По поручению ДЖОЙНТА он работал в Москве, Петербурге и в Минске. Яков Файтельсон является одним из ведущих специалистов по демографии Израиля и более 30 лет тому назад предсказал, что рост еврейского населения в ближайшие годы обгонит рост арабского населения страны. В 1990-х гг. на общественных началах Яков Файтельсон был генеральным директором Союза ученых-репатриантов Израиля (СУРИ).
צורך בגיבוש מדיניות הדמוגרפית למדינת ישראל מחייב פעולות בשני מישורים במקביל:
- המישור הפנים ישראלי המתייחס לכל התחומים הרלוונטיים הנמצאים בשליטת מוסדות המדינה
- המישור החיצוני המתייחס לנושא של שטחי ארץ ישראל המערבית אליהם לא חל החוק הישראלי.
המדיניות הדמוגרפית צריכה להיבנות בשני מסלולים מקבילים: מלמטה למעלה, Bottom-Up, דהיינו מהגורמים המוניציפליים דרך גורמים מחוזיים לדרג הממלכתי, ובאיזון חוזר - מלמעלה למטה Top-Down, מהממלכתי בחזרה דרך הדרג המחוזי לדרג המוניציפלי. מדיניות זאת תאפשר פיתוח מערכות השירותים הנדרשים לאוכלוסייה הנוכחת תוך התחשבות במגמות הגידול שלה גם באופן טבעי, וגם מהשפעת תנועת ההגירה הפנימית והחיצונית.
Papers by Yakov Faitelson
Learned opinions that prophesied inevitable failure for the Zionist project relied on fertility and mortality figures relating to the Jewish and Arab inhabitants of the land and ignored the dimensions of Jewish immigration (Aliyah) to Israel. Analysis of the demographic data for the years 1948-2022 shows that since 2016 the overall fertility of Jews in Israel has been higher than that of the Arabs, and the proportion of Jews in the population of the western Land of Israel is expected to increase from the fourth decade of the twenty-first century. According to the CBS, by 2065 the proportion of Arabs in the population of Israel is expected to decline. This trend could become stronger if a negative migration balance emerges among Israel’s Arab citizens, as has been the case among the Arabs of Judea & Samaria and the Gaza Strip for many years.
At the same time, there was a continual negative migration balance among the residents of what came to be the Palestinian Authority, which began in the days of Jordanian rule of Judea & Samaria and Egyptian rule in the Gaza Strip.
Learned opinions that prophesied inevitable failure for the Zionist project relied on fertility and mortality figures relating to the Jewish and Arab inhabitants of the land and ignored the dimensions of Jewish immigration (Aliyah) to Israel. Analysis of the demographic data for the years 1948-2022 shows that since 2016 the overall fertility of Jews in Israel has been higher than that of the Arabs, and the proportion of Jews in the population of the western Land of Israel is expected to increase from
the fourth decade of the twenty-first century. According to the CBS, by 2065 the proportion of Arabs in the population of Israel is expected to decline. This trend could become stronger if a negative migration balance emerges among Israel’s Arab citizens, as has been the case among the Arabs of Judea & Samaria and the Gaza Strip for many years.
The study sheds light on the surge of Jewish demography, especially among secular Israeli Jews, and on the sharp decline of Arab natural growth and population growth, as a result of a most successful Arab integration into Israel’s infrastructures of modernity.
No ground to the claim that Jews are doomed to become a minority west of the Jordan River: In 2011 there is a 66% Jewish majority – in the combined area of pre-1967 Israel, Judea and Samaria – which benefits from a demographic tailwind.
Faitelson’s findings support the conclusion of a World Bank September 2006 study which documented a 32% “inflation” in the number of Arab births, as reported by the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics.
Even if the war ends tomorrow, the survivors will have nowhere to live, and the recovery - regardless of who is declared the final winner - will take many years. The dilemma is which step is right: leaving Gaza for the sake of life or staying in the "Stone Age" for the sake of national pride and patriotism - will accompany every person."
The UN, the USA, European and Arab countries not only do not help in solving this dilemma, but their actions, under demagogic statements about the need to prevent a humanitarian catastrophe, only aggravate it since they do not allow refugees to leave the completely destroyed Gaza Strip.
The United States and European countries ignore the things mentioned above, based on the virtual reality they have invented, that only the creation of a Palestinian state on the ruins of Gaza is the only solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict.
"As Professor Janet Abu-Lughod noted in December 1986: "Nor will the Arab population within Palestine be able to grow indefinitely. Some outmigration, even in the absence of forced expulsion, is inevitable. The tiny Gaza Strip is now one of the most densely settled areas of the world, and there is a limit to its ability to contain more people, even at the appalling levels of subsistence that now prevail."
Professor Fred M. Gottheil wrote: "Hundreds of thousands left the Middle East entirely. Why should anyone suspect that Arab Palestinians would behave any differently than Egyptians, Mexicans, Ghanaians, or Moroccans, Indonesians, or any other population facing regional inequalities in technology, productivity, income, and employment?"
In August 2007, Dr. Luay Shabaneh, the President of the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, announced during a press conference on the occasion of World Youth Day that a third of young people in Palestine (45% men and 18% women) are considering emigrating.
Keeping this fact in mind, one could ask: how is it possible to think realistically about transferring millions of Arab refugees' descendants to a place that is already almost overpopulated?
As the Saudi journalist Yousef Nasser Al-Sweidan wrote:
"It is patently obvious that uprooting the descendants of the refugees from their current homes in Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, and other countries, and returning them to Israel, to the West Bank, and to Gaza is a utopian ideal and [a recipe for] anarchy.
More than that - it is an idea that cannot be implemented, not only because it will upset the demographic [balance] dangerously and destructively, and will have [far-reaching] political, economic and social ramifications in such a small and constrained geographical area, but [mainly] because the return [of the refugees] stands in blatant contradiction to Israel's right as a sovereign [State], while the Palestinian Authority lacks the infrastructure to absorb such a large number of immigrants."
"Palestinian refugees must be spread and re-settled in all Arab states… The only solution that makes sense is to re-settle them in the 21 Arab states." - wrote Dr. Joseph Hitti. – "A quota system may be adopted such that the largest and wealthiest countries re-settle larger numbers of refugees than smaller and poorer countries."
In Dr. Hitti's opinion, "The traditional countries of emigration—the US, Canada, Mexico, Central and Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand—as well as those European countries who were directly responsible for the genesis of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (e.g., Germany, the UK, etc.)—should offer to permanently settle on a quota basis those of the refugees who elect to do so.
This solution would finally give the refugees a chance for a better life, allow Lebanon to finally be on the track of recovery, and contribute to the final resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict."
Hundreds of thousands of Arabs have already emigrated from the Land of Israel and found their new home in other countries worldwide. They established flourishing communities in Jordan, Chile, Germany, Honduras, Sweden, the USA, Canada, and Australia.
The continuation of the increasing Arab emigration will exercise a powerful influence on the demographic balance between Jews and Arabs and the demographic situation in the Land of Israel as a whole.
It may also diminish the tensions between Jews and Arabs and lead to a natural and peaceful solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict. It just needs a realistic approach of the World public opinion to this problem and a carefully organized international resettlement plan for those Arabs who had expressed their will to find their future and a better life in other countries.
The text further compares the population growth and life expectancy of Palestinians with that of Israelis and South Africans. It notes that under Israeli control, Palestinians' life expectancy has increased significantly, and their population growth rate has been higher than that of Israelis. The text concludes by suggesting that living under Israeli control has added more years to the life expectancy of Palestinians than the conditions in South Africa have added to its population.
In contrast to this, when it comes to the situation of the Arabs living in Judea, Samaria, and the Gaza Strip, despite the desire of many of them to emigrate abroad due to the lack of prospects for a normal life under oppressive and corrupt regimes in Ramallah and ISIS of Hamas in the Gaza Strip, the Western countries oppose their right to do so.
Such hypocritical policy and such cynicism raise the concern that this is a hidden strategic move to create increasing tension among the growing Arab population, which could destabilize the existence of the Jewish state. The article ends with the rhetorical question, "When you have such friends, who need enemies?"
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I addressed it to my friends in Israel and the USA in response to the article "The Feasibility of the Right of Return" by Dr Salman Abu Sitta. Unfortunately, he describes the correct demographic picture of Jewish and Arab population dispersion in Israel.
Therefore, it serves as a basis for his "Peaceful Final Solution" plan for the Jewish State and the creation of a Democratic Palestine with an Arab Majority based on the Right of Return of more than 4 million Arabs from abroad.
According to this plan, the Jewish population after "peaceful relocation" would be concentrated in Area "A," which will remain predominantly Jewish (76% of Jews) in 3 main enclaves: Greater Tel Aviv District (Tel Aviv, Petah Tiqwa, Sharon, Rishon Le Ziyon, Southern Sharon and Rehovot), Haifa and Judean Mountain (8 Natural Regions - 1,683 sq.km.).
In 2009, I published a detailed analysis of Dr. Abu Sitta's proposals in an article entitled "Why do the Palestinians oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state". https://www.academia.edu/81450001/Why_do_the_Palestinians_oppose_the_establishment_of_a_Palestinian_state