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Figure 5. Observed reservoir inflow with SSTa of highest negative correlation (SSTa; QJAS) The results of the statistics of the models were presented in Table 2, while, the relationship between the observed seasonal reservoir inflow with the predictors are illustrated in Figures 4 to 6 and finally the relationship between the predicted and the observed seasonal stream flows are presented in Figure 7 to 9 for various combinations of predictor variables.

Figure 5 Observed reservoir inflow with SSTa of highest negative correlation (SSTa; QJAS) The results of the statistics of the models were presented in Table 2, while, the relationship between the observed seasonal reservoir inflow with the predictors are illustrated in Figures 4 to 6 and finally the relationship between the predicted and the observed seasonal stream flows are presented in Figure 7 to 9 for various combinations of predictor variables.

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Figure 1. Kainji dam and Lake http://iridl.1deo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.KAPL \N/.EXTENDED/.v2/.ssta/ The following data sets for the 1970 — 2003 periods are used in the analysis
Figure 1. Kainji dam and Lake http://iridl.1deo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.KAPL \N/.EXTENDED/.v2/.ssta/ The following data sets for the 1970 — 2003 periods are used in the analysis
Figure 2 Mean monthly reservoir inflow for Kainji dam along Niger River, Nigeria The seasonality plot is a plot between each month and its respective monthly average reservoir inflow. The monthly plot is presented in Figure 2, there are four seasons of three month each, and their percentage contribution to the mean annual (long- term) is presented in Table 1. Oct-Nov-Dec (OND) season is selected for analysis.
Figure 2 Mean monthly reservoir inflow for Kainji dam along Niger River, Nigeria The seasonality plot is a plot between each month and its respective monthly average reservoir inflow. The monthly plot is presented in Figure 2, there are four seasons of three month each, and their percentage contribution to the mean annual (long- term) is presented in Table 1. Oct-Nov-Dec (OND) season is selected for analysis.
Table 2. Statistics of the Models (Leave one out Validation)
Table 2. Statistics of the Models (Leave one out Validation)
a pe kee Figure 3. Niger River Lag-3 Correlation for OND season at Kainji gauge site The correlation plot between 3-months lag SST (JAS season) and stream flow during OND season is presented in Figure 3.
a pe kee Figure 3. Niger River Lag-3 Correlation for OND season at Kainji gauge site The correlation plot between 3-months lag SST (JAS season) and stream flow during OND season is presented in Figure 3.
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