Academia.eduAcademia.edu

Outline

Evolution of bot and human behavior during elections

2019, First Monday

https://doi.org/10.5210/FM.V24I9.10213

Abstract

Online social media have become one of the main communication platforms for political discussion. The online ecosystem, however, does not only include human users but has given a space to an increasing number of automated accounts, referred to as bots, extensively used to spread messages and manipulate the narratives others are exposed to. Although social media service providers put increasing efforts to protect their platforms, malicious bot accounts continuously evolve to escape detection. In this work, we monitored the activity of almost 245K accounts engaged in the Twitter political discussion during the last two U.S. voting events. We identified approximately 31K bots and characterized their activity in contrast with humans. We show that, in the 2018 midterms, bots changed the volume and the temporal dynamics of their online activity to better mimic humans and avoid detection. Our findings highlight the mutable nature of bots and illustrate the challenges to forecast their evol...

References (47)

  1. Note that, to validate our findings, we repeated this evaluation at varying bot score threshold (from 0.3 to 0.7) with no significant changes on the results.
  2. The in-degree centrality is a network analysis measure that assigns a score to every node in a network based only on the number of inbound links held by each node. Formally, the in-degree centrality of a generic node u is the number of its
  3. A. Addawood, A. Badawy, K. Lerman, E. Ferrara, 2019. "Linguistic Cues to Deception: Identifying Political Trolls on Social Media," Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (Vol. 13, No. 01, pp. 15-25).
  4. H. Allcott, M. Gentzkow, 2017. "Social media and fake news in the 2016 election," Journal of Economic Perspectives , 31(2):211-36.
  5. A. Badawy, E. Ferrara, K. Lerman, 2018a. "Who falls for online political manipulation?," Companion Proceedings of the 2019 World Wide Web Conference , 162-168.
  6. A. Badawy, E. Ferrara, K. Lerman, 2018b. "Analyzing the digital traces of political manipulation: The 2016 russian interference twitter campaign," 2018 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining .
  7. A. Badawy, A. Addawood, K. Lerman, E. Ferrara, 2019. "Characterizing the 2016
  8. Russian IRA influence campaign," Social Network Analysis and Mining , 9(1), 31.
  9. A. Bessi, E. Ferrara, 2016. "Social bots distort the 2016 us presidential election online discussion," First Monday 21(11).
  10. O. Boichak, S. Jackson, J. Hemsley, S. Tanupabrungsun, 2018. "Automated diffusion? bots and their influence during the 2016 us presidential election," International Conference on Information, pp. 17-26.
  11. A. Bovet, H.A. Makse, 2019. "Influence of fake news in Twitter during the 2016 us presidential election," Nature Communications, 10(1):7.
  12. C. Cadwalladr, 2017. "The great British Brexit robbery: how our democracy was hijacked," The Guardian, 7.
  13. N. Chavoshi, H. Hamooni, A. Mueen, 2016. "DeBot: Twitter Bot Detection via Warped Correlation," ICDM , 817-822.
  14. Z. Chen, D. Subramanian, 2018. "An Unsupervised Approach to Detect Spam Campaigns that Use Botnets on Twitter," arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.05232 .
  15. S. Cresci, R. Di Pietro, M. Petrocchi, A. Spognardi, M. Tesconi, 2017. "The paradigm-shift of social spambots: Evidence, theories, and tools for the arms race," WWW '17 Companion Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web Companion , pp. 963-972.
  16. C.A. Davis, O. Varol, E. Ferrara, A. Flammini, F. Menczer, 2016. "Botornot: A system to evaluate social bots," Proceedings of the 25th International Conference Companion on World Wide Web.
  17. M. Del Vicario, F. Zollo, G. Caldarelli, A. Scala, W. Quattrociocchi, 2017. "Mapping social dynamics on facebook: The brexit debate," Social Networks 50:6-16.
  18. E. Ferrara, O. Varol, C. Davis, F. Menczer, A. Flammini, 2016a. "The rise of social bots," Communications of the ACM , 59(7):96-104.
  19. E. Ferrara, O. Varol, F. Menczer, A. Flammini, 2016b. "Detection of promoted social media campaigns," 10th Int AAAI Conf on Web and Social Media , pp. 553-556.
  20. E. Ferrara, 2019. "This History of Digital Spam," Communications of the ACM , 62(8).
  21. E. Ferrara, 2017. "Disinformation and social bot operations in the run up to the 2017 french presidential election," First Monday , 22(8).
  22. C.W.J. Granger CW, 1969. "Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods," Econometrica , volume 37, number 3, pp. 424-438.
  23. N. Grinberg, K. Joseph, L. Friedland, B. Swire-Thompson, D. Lazer, 2019. "Fake news on Twitter during the 2016 U.S. presidential election," Science , 363(6425):374-378.
  24. P.N. Howard, B. Kollanyi, 2016. "Bots, #Strongerin, and #Brexit: Computational Propaganda During the UK-EU Referendum," SSRN : https://ssrn.com/abstract=2798311 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2798311
  25. P.N. Howard, B. Kollanyi, S. Woolley, 2016. "Bots and automation over twitter during the US election," Computational Propaganda Project: Working Paper Series .
  26. P.N. Howard, G. Bolsover, B. Kollanyi, S. Bradshaw, L.M. Neudert, 2017. "Junk news and bots during the US election: What were michigan voters sharing over Twitter," CompProp , OII, Data Memo.
  27. J. Im, E. Chandrasekharan, J. Sargent, P. Lighthammer, T. Denby, A. Bhargava, L.
  28. Hemphill, D. Jurgens, E. Gilbert, 2019. "Still out there: Modeling and identifying russian troll accounts on Twitter," arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.11162.
  29. S. Kudugunta, E. Ferrara, 2018. "Deep Neural Networks for Bot Detection," Information Sciences, 467, 312-322.
  30. L. Luceri, A. Deb, A. Badawy, E. Ferrara, 2019. "Red bots do it better: comparative analysis of social bot partisan behavior," Companion Proceedings of the 2019 World Wide Web Conference , 1007-1012.
  31. P.T. Metaxas, E. Mustafaraj, 2012. "Social media and the elections," Science, 338(6106):472-473.
  32. B. Mønsted, P. Sapiezynski, E. Ferrara, S. Lehmann, 2017. "Evidence of complex contagion of information in social media: An experiment using twitter bots," Plos One , 12(9):e0184148
  33. I. Pozzana, E. Ferrara, 2018. "Measuring bot and human behavioral dynamics," arXiv preprint , arXiv:1802.04286.
  34. A. Radford, J. Wu, R. Child, D. Luan, D. Amodei, I. Sutskever, 2019. "Language models are unsupervised multitask learners," OpenAI Blog 1(8).
  35. J. Ratkiewicz, M. D. Conover, M. Meiss, B. Gonçalves, A. Flammini, F. Menczer, 2011. "Detecting and tracking political abuse in social media," Fifth Int AAAI Conf on Weblogs and Social Media , 11:297-304.
  36. D. J. Ruck, N. M. Rice, J. Borycz, R. A. Bentley, 2019. "Internet Research Agency Twitter activity predicted 2016 US election polls," First Monday , 24 (7).
  37. D.A. Scheufele, N.M. Krause, 2019. "Science audiences, misinformation, and fake news," PNAS p. 201805871.
  38. K. Shu, A. Sliva, S. Wang, J. Tang, H. Liu, 2017. "Fake news detection on social media: A data mining perspective," ACM SIGKDD Explorations Newsletter, 19(1):22-36.
  39. M. Stella, E. Ferrara, M. De Domenico, 2018. "Bots increase exposure to negative and inflammatory content in online social systems," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(49):12435-12440.
  40. M. Stella, M. Cristoforetti, M. De Domenico, 2019. "Influence of augmented humans in online interactions during voting events," PloS one , 14(5):e0214210.
  41. V.S. Subrahmanian, A. Azaria, S. Durst, V. Kagan, A. Galstyan, K. Lerman, L. Zhu, E. Ferrara, A. Flammini, F. Menczer, 2016. "The DARPA Twitter Bot Challenge," Computer 49, 6.
  42. M.B.K. Thelwall, G. Paltoglou G, 2010. "Heart and soul: sentiment strength detection in the social web with sentistrength," Journal of Language and Social Psychology, pp. 24-54.
  43. O. Varol, E. Ferrara, F. Menczer, A. Flammini, 2017a. "Early detection of promoted campaigns on social media," EPJ Data Science 6(1):13.
  44. O. Varol, E. Ferrara, C.A. Davis, F. Menczer, A. Flammini, 2017b. "Online human-bot interactions: Detection, estimation, and characterization," Int. AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, pp. 280-289.
  45. S. Vosoughi, D. Roy, S. Aral, 2018. "The spread of true and false news online," Science , 359(6380):1146-1151.
  46. S.C. Woolley, D.R. Guilbeault, 2017. "Computational propaganda in the united states of america: Manufacturing consensus online," CompProp Research Project, p. 22.
  47. K. C. Yang, O. Varol, C. A. Davis, E. Ferrara, A. Flammini, F. Menczer, 2019. "Arming the public with artificial intelligence to counter social bots," Human Behavior and Emerging Technologies , 1(1):48-61. Supplement 2016 data collection: list of keywords #election2016, #elections2016, #tcot, #p2, #hillaryclinton, #donaldtrump, #presidentialdebate, #debates2016, #imwithher, #trump2016, #nevertrump, #neverhillary, #trumppence16, #hillary, #trumpwon, #debate, #trump, #garyjohnson, #jillstein, #jillnothill, #debatenight, #debates, #VPDebate