Influence of Spatial Features on Land and Housing Prices

An Analysis of Spatial Dependence in Real Estate Prices, 2022

Real estate properties are naturally location-fixed. When space related factors are not fully incorporated in a standard pricing equation, spatial autocorrelation is likely to exist. This results in inefficiencies in estimations and raises the need for more complex spatial models. This paper analyzes the determinants of spatial dependence and evaluates the performance of the hedonic regression equation when the determinants of spatial dependence are controlled for. Using a novel dataset for a metropolitan housing market, we document the spatial clustering of housing characteristics such as area, total number of floors and the building age. We find support for the hypotheses that the construction process, shared social services and high-rise residential complexes cause spatial correlation. Our findings show that spatial correlation is significantly reduced when the factors of spatial dependence and district level data is controlled for in the standard hedonic regression.

Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 2013

Hedonic house-price models have long been used in urban studies to investigate important factors characterizing cities (eg, the demand for amenities or housing submarkets). Traditionally, the formulation of hedonic models has been solved using global spatial econometric techniques. The development of local regression methods brought new insights into urban planning as the relationships between house prices and their determinants can be estimated locally and therefore mapped across space. Such maps provide planners and policy makers with valuable location-specific information to support their decision-making processes. A feature that is frequently overlooked when performing spatial local analysis is testing the statistical significance of local parameter estimates over space. This can be done by mapping the t-value of parameter estimates ( t-surfaces). In this study we propose the use of a mixed geographically weighted regression (mixed-GWR) technique to estimate a hedonic house-pric...

Transport Policy, 2019

Pollutant emissions, noise and other externalities generated by heavy infrastructures, might impact negatively on real estate values. To test this effect, this paper presents the results of an analysis based on Hedonic Linear Regression, Spatial Hedonic Linear Regression and Hedonic Geographically Weighted Regression models, carried out for the study case of the province of Taranto (Italy). The biggest steel factory in Europe is located here, and some population movements have been observed in relation to the high levels of pollution in the areas close to the factory. The variables used to measure the impact of externalities are of two types: objective indicators such as the distance from the industrial area and the levels of NO2 and PM10, and subjective indicators such as the level of pollution and noise perceived by the population. Results show that the distance from factory was a positive factor in the real estate prices although not always clearly significant, and among pollution indicators, only high levels of NO2 had a negative effect. The accessibility to employment did not prove to be a significant variable in the real estate prices, which indicates that factors related to environmental quality have a greater weight in residential location. Moreover, models including subjective indicators do not show better estimates than models considering only objective indicators. Finally, spatial regression models were useful to analyse the spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity observed in the data.

2005

Omitting spatial characteristics such as proximity to amenities from hedonic land value models may lead to spatial autocorrelation and biased and inefficient estimators. A spatial autoregressive error model can be used to model the spatial structure of errors arising from omitted spatial effects. This paper demonstrates an alternative approach to modeling land values based on individual and joint misspecification tests

Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 1997

Accurate estimation of prevailing metropolitan housing prices is important for both business and research investigations of housing and mortgage markets. This is typically done by constructing quality-adjusted house price indices from hedonic price regressions for given metropolitan areas. A major limitation of currently available indices is their insensitivity to the geographic location of dwellings within the metropolitan area. Indices are

Real Estate Economics, 2003

2001

Commercial land price gradients for an emerging real estate market are estimated using spatial regression techniques. Spatial statistics are used to explore the extent of spatial autocorrelation in the residuals of an OLS land price gradient model. Spatial autocorrelation is present but not to the same degree for all time periods or commercial land uses. Maximum likelihood estimates of land price gradients are as one would expect in mature real estate markets.

Pressacademia, 2020

Purpose-This study examines and documents spatial heterogeneity in Istanbul housing market using Geographically Weighted Model (GWR). Methodology-A GWR model with a Gaussian kernel and an adaptive bandwidth based on cross-validation is employed on a cross-sectional housing listing data set. Additional analysis is provided using geographically weighted Spearman's rank correlation measure between prices and variables. Findings-GWR model substantially boosts goodness of fit in our pricing model compared to a standard hedonic regression model. The variation within GWR coefficients is high and of micro nature. Median GWR coefficients often differ from standard hedonic regression coefficients. The variability of coefficients is plotted on map. Conclusion-Findings suggest the existence of spatial non-stationarity in standard hedonic regressions and favor the use of models appropriate for spatial heterogeneity. Findings encourage further research in hedonic models applications such as in quality adjustments to price indices.

SPATIAL HETEROGENEITY IN ISTANBUL HOUSING MARKET: A GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED APPROACH, 2020

Purpose-This study examines and documents spatial heterogeneity in Istanbul housing market using Geographically Weighted Model (GWR). Methodology-A GWR model with a Gaussian kernel and an adaptive bandwidth based on cross-validation is employed on a cross-sectional housing listing data set. Additional analysis is provided using geographically weighted Spearman's rank correlation measure between prices and variables. Findings-GWR model substantially boosts goodness of fit in our pricing model compared to a standard hedonic regression model. The variation within GWR coefficients is high and of micro nature. Median GWR coefficients often differ from standard hedonic regression coefficients. The variability of coefficients is plotted on map. Conclusion-Findings suggest the existence of spatial non-stationarity in standard hedonic regressions and favor the use of models appropriate for spatial heterogeneity. Findings encourage further research in hedonic models applications such as in quality adjustments to price indices.

Computers & Geosciences, 2006

Conventional statistical methods are often ineffective to evaluate spatial regression models. One reason is that spatial regression models usually have more parameters or smaller sample sizes than a simple model, so their degree of freedom is reduced. Thus, it is often unlikely to evaluate them based on traditional tests. Another reason, which is theoretically associated with statistical methods, is that statistical criteria are crucially dependent on such assumptions as normality, independence, and homogeneity. This may create problems because the assumptions are open for testing. In view of these problems, this paper proposes an alternative empirical evaluation method. To illustrate the idea, a few hedonic regression models for a house and land price data set are evaluated, including a simple, ordinary linear regression model and three spatial models. Their performance as to how well the price of the house and land can be predicted is examined. With a cross-validation technique, the prices at each sample point are predicted with a model estimated with the samples excluding the one being concerned. Then, empirical criteria are established whereby the predicted prices are compared with the real, observed prices. The proposed method provides an objective guidance for the selection of a suitable model specification for a data set. Moreover, the method is seen as an alternative way to test the significance of the spatial relationships being concerned in spatial regression models.