Academia.eduAcademia.edu

Outline

Voting Systems for Environmental Decisions

2014, Conservation Biology

https://doi.org/10.1111/COBI.12209

Abstract

Voting systems aggregate preferences efficiently and are often used for deciding conservation priorities. Desirable characteristics of voting systems include transitivity, completeness, and Pareto optimality, among others. Voting systems that are common and potentially useful for environmental decision making include simple majority, approval, and preferential voting. Unfortunately, no voting system can guarantee an outcome, while also satisfying a range of very reasonable performance criteria. Furthermore, voting methods may be manipulated by decision makers and strategic voters if they have knowledge of the voting patterns and alliances of others in the voting populations. The difficult properties of voting systems arise in routine decision making when there are multiple criteria and management alternatives. Because each method has flaws, we do not endorse one method. Instead, we urge organizers to be transparent about the properties of proposed voting systems and to offer participants the opportunity to approve the voting system as part of the ground rules for operation of a group.

References (66)

  1. Armbruster, W., and W. Boge. 1983. Efficient, anonymous, and neutral group decisions. Econimetrica 51:1389-1405.
  2. Arrow, K. 1951. Social choice and individual values. Wiley, New York.
  3. Black, D. 1958. The theory of committees and elections. Cambridge University Press, London, United Kingdom.
  4. Brams, S. J. 2004. Approval voting. In Rowley, C. and F. Schneider (eds.) The encyclopedia of public choice. Kluwer, Dordrecht 344- 346. DOI: 10.1007/978-0-306-47828-4_34.
  5. Brams, S. J., and M. R. Sanver. 2006. Critical strategies under approval voting: who gets ruled in and ruled out. Electoral Studies 25:287- 305.
  6. Brown, L. E., et al. 2010. Priority water research questions as deter- mined by UK practitioners and policy makers. Science of the Total Environment 409:256-266.
  7. Burgman, M. A. 2005. Risks and decisions for conservation and envi- ronmental management. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  8. Burgman M. A., A. Carr, L. Godden, R. Gregory, M. McBride, L. Flander, and L. A. Maguire. 2011. Redefining expertise and improv- ing ecological judgment. Conservation Letters 4:81-87.
  9. Chakravarty, S., and T. R. Kaplan. 2010. Vote or shout. The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics 10(1): Article 42. Available from www.bepress.com/bejte/vol10/iss1/art42.
  10. Chee, Y. E. 2004. An ecological perspective on the valuation of ecosys- tem services. Biological Conservation 120:549-565.
  11. Cooke, R. M. 1991. Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective prob- ability in science. Oxford University Press, New York.
  12. Craven, J. 1992. Social choice: a framework for collective decision and individual judgments. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  13. Dicks, L. V., D. A. Showler, and W.J. Sutherland. 2010. Bee conserva- tion: evidence for the effects of interventions. Pelagic Publications, Exeter.
  14. Dodgson, C. L. 1876. A method of taking votes on more than two issues. Reprinted in Black, D. 1958. The theory of committees and elections. Cambridge University Press, London, United Kingdom.
  15. Elkind, E., P. Faliszewski, and A. Slinko. 2011. Homogeneity and mono- tonicity of distance-rationalizable voting rules. Pages 821-828 in K. Tumer, P. Yolum, L. Sonenberg, and P. Stone, editors. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems. Taipei, Taiwan.
  16. Fishburn, P. C. 1977. Condorcet social choice functions. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 33:469-489.
  17. Fishburn, P. C., and S. J. Brams. 1983. Paradoxes of preferential voting. Mathematics Magazine 56:207-214.
  18. French, S. 1986. Decision theory: an introduction to the mathematics of rationality. Ellis Horwood, Chichester, United Kingdom.
  19. Gehrlein, W. V. 1983. Condorcet's paradox. Theory and Decision 15:161-197.
  20. Ghanbarpour, M. R., K. W. Hipel, and K. C. Abbaspour. 2005. Pri- oritizing long-term watershed management strategies using group decision analysis. International Journal of Water Resources Devel- opment 21:297-309.
  21. Gibbard, A. 1973. Manipulation of voting schemes: a general result. Econometrica 41:587-601.
  22. Gavish, B., and J. H. Gerdes. 1997. Voting mechanisms and their im- plications in a GDSS environment. Annals of Operations Research 71:41-74.
  23. Gregory, R. S., and R. L. Keeney. 2002. Making smarter environmental management decisions. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 38:1601-1612.
  24. Hämäläinen, R., E. Kettunen, M. Marttunun, and H. Ehtamo. 2001. Eval- uating a framework for multi-stakeholder decision support in water resources management. Group Decisions and Negotiation 10:331- 353.
  25. Hiltunen, V., J. Kangas, and J. Pykalainen. 2008. Voting methods in strategic forest planning-experiences from Metsahallitus. Forest Policy and Economics 10:117-127.
  26. Hodge, J. K., and R. E. Klima. 2005. The mathematics of voting and elections: a hands-on approach. American Mathematical Society, Providence, RI.
  27. Hwang C. L., and M. Lin. 1987. Group decision-making: mathematical models. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
  28. Jones, B., B. Radcliff, C. Taber, and R. Timpone. 1995. Condorcet winners and the paradox of voting: probability calculations for weak preference orders. American Political Science Review 89:137- 144.
  29. Kangas, J., and A. Kangas. 2002. Multiple criteria decision support methods in forest management. Pages 37-70 in T. Pukkala, editor. Multi-objective forest management, chapter 3. Kluwer, Netherlands.
  30. Kangas, A., S. Laukkanen, and J. Kangas. 2006. Social choice theory and its applications in sustainable forest management-a review. Forest Policy and Economics 9:77-92.
  31. Keeney, R. 1992. Value-focused thinking: a path to creative decision making. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
  32. Kemeny, J. 1959. Mathematics without numbers. Daedalus 88:577-591.
  33. Kerr, N. L., and R. S. Tindale. 2004. Small group decision making and performance. Annual Review of Psychology 55:623-656.
  34. Kijazi, M. H., and S. Kant. 2010. Forest stakeholders' value prefer- ences in Mount Kilimanjaro, Tanzania. Forest Policy and Economics 12:357-369.
  35. Klahr, D. 1966. A computer simulation of the paradox of voting. Amer- ican Political Science Review 60:384-390.
  36. Laukkanen, S., T. Palander, J. Kangas, and A. Kangas. 2005. Evaluation of the multicriteria approval method for timber-harvesting group decision support. Silva Fenn 39:249-264.
  37. Leal, C. P., R. A. Quinones, and C. Chavez. 2010. What factors affect the decision making process when setting TACs?: The case of Chilean fisheries. Marine Policy 34:1183-1195.
  38. Lehtinen, A. 2008. The welfare consequences of strategic behaviour under approval and plurality voting. European Journal of Political Economy 24:688-704.
  39. Lepelley, D., and F. Valognes. 2003. Voting rules, manipulability and social homogeneity. Public Choice 116:165-184.
  40. McNeill, J., and N. J. Turland. 2010. The conservation of Aca- cia with Acacia penninervis as conserved type. Taxon 59:613- 616.
  41. Maguire, L. A. 2004. What can decision analysis do for invasive species management? Risk Analysis 24:859-868.
  42. Marcot, B. G., P. A. Hohenlohe, S. Morey, R. Holmes, R. Molina, M. C. Turley, M. H. Huff, and J. A. Laurence. 2006. Characterizing species at risk II: Using Bayesian Belief Networks as decision sup- port tools to determine species conservation categories under the Northwest Forest Plan. Ecology and Society:11:12. Available from http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol11/iss2/art12/
  43. Mendoza, G. A., and R. Prabhu. 2009. Evaluating multi-stakeholder perceptions of project impacts: a participatory value based Conservation Biology Volume 00, No. 0, 2014 multi-criteria approach. International Journal of Sustainable Devel- opment and World Ecology 16:177-190.
  44. Morgan, M. G., and M. Henrion. 1990. Uncertainty: a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  45. Morton, S. R., et al. 2009. The big ecological questions inhibiting effec- tive environmental management in Australia. Austral Ecology 34:1- 9.
  46. Nanson, E. J. 1883. Methods of election. Transactions and Proceedings of the Royal Society of Victoria 19:197-240.
  47. Nurmi, H. 2012. On the relevance of theoretical results to voting sys- tem choice. Pages 255-274 in D.S. Felsenthal, and M. Machover, editors. Electoral systems. Studies in choice and welfare, chapter 10. Springer, Berlin.
  48. Patterson, J., M. E. Meek, J. E. Strawson, and R. G. Liteplo. 2007. En- gaging expert peers in the development of risk assessments. Risk Analysis 27:1609-1621.
  49. Phillips, S. J., A. Archer, R. L. Pressey, D. Torkornoo, D. Apple- gate, D. Johnson, and M. W. Watts. 2010. Voting power and target-based site prioritization. Biological Conservation 143:1989- 1997.
  50. Poundstone, W. 2008. Gaming the vote: why elections aren't fair (and what we can do about it). Hill and Wang, New York.
  51. Richelson, J. T. 1981. A comparative analysis of social choice functions IV. Behavioral Science 26:346-353.
  52. Riker, W. 1982. Liberalism against Populism: a confrontation between the theory of democracy and the theory of social choice. W. H. Freeman, San Francisco.
  53. Risse, M. 2001. Arrow's theorem, indeterminacy, and multiplicity re- considered. Ethics 111:706-734.
  54. Saari, D. G. 2001. Decisions and elections: explaining the unexpected. University of Cambridge Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
  55. Saaty, T. L. 1980. The analytic hierarchy process. McGraw Hill, New York.
  56. Satterthwaite, M. 1975. Strategy proofness and Arrow's conditions. Jour- nal of Economic Theory 10:187-217.
  57. Sen, A. 1999. The possibility of social choice. American Economic Re- view 89:349-378.
  58. Slovic, P. 1999. Trust, emotion, sex, politics, and science: surveying the risk-assessment battlefield. Risk Analysis 19:689-701.
  59. Sutherland, W. J. et al. 2009. One hundred questions of importance to the conservation of global biological diversity. Conservation Biology 23:557-567.
  60. Tangian, A. S. 2000. Unlikelihood of Condorcet's paradox in a large society. Social Welfare and Choice 17:337-365.
  61. Taylor, A. D. 1995. Mathematics and politics: strategy, voting, power and proof. Springer-Verlag, New York.
  62. Thomas, C. W., A. B. Soule, and T. B. Davis. 2010. Special interest capture of regulatory agencies: a ten-year analysis of voting behavior on regional fishery management councils. Policy Studies Journal 38:447-464.
  63. Tisdell, C., C. Wilson, and H. S. Nantha. 2006. Public choice of species for the 'Ark': Phylogenetic similarity and preferred wildlife species for survival. Journal for Nature Conservation 14:97-105.
  64. Vignola, R., T. L. McDaniels, and R. W. Scholz. 2012. Negotiation analysis for mechanisms to deliver ecosystem services: The case of soil conservation in Costa Rica. Ecological Economics 75:22- 31.
  65. Williams, P. D. 2006. The greening of the Queensland electorate? Aus- tralian Journal of Political Science 41:325-337.
  66. Zendehdel, K., M. Rademaker, B. De Baets, and G. Van Huylen- broeck. 2010. Environmental decision making with conflicting so- cial groups: a case study of the Lar rangeland in Iran. Journal of Arid Environments 74:394-402.