Academia.eduAcademia.edu

Outline

Power laws and athletic performance

1999, Journal of Sports Sciences

https://doi.org/10.1080/026404199365777

Abstract

In a previous study, we showed that the 1992 m en' s world record running times in the 100 m to 200 km could be represented accurately by the equation T = cD n , where T is the calculated record time for distance D , and c and n are positive constants. Here, we extend that to cover the years 1925± 65 at 10-year intervals and 1970± 95 in 5-year intervals for distances of 100 m to 10 km. Values of n for all years lie along a straight line with a small negative slope. A regression analysis yields an equation for values of n covering the period 1925± 95. Values of c from 1925 to 1995 were W tted by a quadratic equation. These two equations deW ne a surface in threedimensional space á log(T ), log(D), dateñ for all men' s world record runs over the 70-year period for distances of 100 m to 10 km. We also demonstrated previously that event times, t, do not scatter randomly with respect to the values of T but form a consistent pattern about the straight lines in log(T ) versus log(D ) plots. In this study, we show that the pattern of (t -T )/t as a function of date has remained constant for the past 70 years.

References (25)

  1. Blest, D.C . (1996). Lower bounds for athletic performance. The Statistician, 45, 243± 253.
  2. Buchanan, M . (1997). One law to rule them all. N ew Scientis t, 2107, 30± 35.
  3. Elbert, T., Ray, W.J., Kowalik, Z.J., Skinner, J.E., G raf, K.E. and Birbaumer, N. (1994). Chaos and physiology: Deterministic chaos in excitable cell assemblies. Physio- log ical R eview s, 74, 1± 47.
  4. G leick, J. (1987). C haos, the M aking of a New Science . New York: Viking Penguin.
  5. G oldberger, A.L., Rigney, D.R. and West, B.J. (1990). Chaos and fractals in human physiology. ScientiWc A merican, 262, 43± 49.
  6. Harris, J.Y. (1970). M aximal human power output by suitable selection of m otion cycle and load. H uman Factors, 12, 315± 329.
  7. Henry, F.M . (1955). Prediction of world records in running sixty yards to twenty-six miles. Resea rch Q uarter ly, 26, 147± 158.
  8. Hill, A.V. (1926). M uscula r Activity. Baltimore, M D: Williams & Wilkins. International Am ateur Athletic Federation (1972). P rog ressive World Record Lists 1913± 1970. London: IAAF.
  9. Johnson, A.T. (1991). B iom ech anics and E xercise Physiolog y. New York: John W iley.
  10. Katz, L. (1954). Letter to the editor. Am er ican Scientist, 42, 392 and 532.
  11. Katz, L. and Katz, J.S. (1994). Fractal (power law) analysis of athletic performance. Sport M edicine, Training and Rehabilitation , 5, 95± 105.
  12. Keller, J.B. (1973). A theory of competitive running. Physics Today, September, pp. 43± 47.
  13. Keller, J.B. (1974). Optimal velocity in a race. Am erican M athem atics M onthly, 81, 474± 480.
  14. Kennelly, A.E. (1906). An approximate law of fatigue in the speeds of racing animals. Proceedings of the Am erican A cadem y of Arts and Sciences, 42, 273± 331.
  15. Lietzke, M .H. (1954). An analytical study of world and Olympic racing records. Science, 119, 333± 336.
  16. Lodge, M . (1981). M agnitud e Scaling. London: Sage.
  17. M andelbrot, B.B. (1977). The Fractal Geometr y of N ature. New York: W.H. Freeman.
  18. Oliver, J.L., Barnaola-Galvan, P., Guerrero-Garcia, J. and Roman-Roldan, R. (1993). Entropic proWles of DNA sequences through chaos-game-derived images. Jour na l of Theoretica l B iolog y, 160, 457± 470.
  19. Peronnet, F. and Thibault, G. (1989). M athematical analysis of running perform ance and world running records. Jour na l of Applied Physiolog y, 67, 453± 465.
  20. Pons, D.J. and Vaughan, C .L. (1989). M echanics of cycling. In B iom echanics of Sport (edited by C.L. Vaughan), pp. 305± 306. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.
  21. Riegel, P.S. (1981). Athletic records and human endurance. A m erican Scienti st, 69, 985± 990.
  22. Schroeder, M . (1991). Fracta ls, Chaos and Power Laws. New York: W.H. Freeman.
  23. Sveshnikov, A.A. (1968). Problem s in Probability Theor y, M athem atical Statistics and Theor y of Random Function s. London: W.B. Saunders.
  24. Ward-Smith, A.J. (1985). A m athematical theory of running, based on the Wrst law of thermodynamics, and its applica- tion to the perfor mance of world class athletes. Jour na l of B iom ech anics, 18, 337± 349.
  25. W ilkie, D.R. (1960). M an as a source of mechanical power. E rgonom ics, 3, 1± 8.