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Chaos theory and its application in political science

2006, Chaos theory and its application in political science

Abstract

The introduction of the notion of chaos – derived from the chaos theory as developed in mathematical and physics sciences – into the study of socio-political phenomena allows us to better understand the dynamic evolution of these non-linear systems. This paper intends to review the still embryonic literature regarding the application of the chaos theory in political science, particularly into the fields of public policies and international relations. The modelling and prediction attempts made using non-linear tools (such as the mathematical transformations, the fractal objects and other graphic and quantitative methods applicable to the specificities of the socio-political data) reveal the original asset of the chaos for social sciences. Using examples and cases studies, this paper attempts to develop and shows the pertinence of these original concepts (such as the bifurcations, the strange attractors, or the sensitivity to initial conditions) as well as the analysis and prediction tools associated to them in order to apprehend and understand political phenomena whose behaviour seem to be, at first sight, random or at least unpredictable.

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