This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the ad... more This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
Assessment of the Effects and Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic in The Bahamas
This DALA Assessment report collects and integrates relevant data for the authorities of the gove... more This DALA Assessment report collects and integrates relevant data for the authorities of the government of the Bahamas, on the effects on the different social, productive, services and infrastructure sectors, which have been caused in the country for the period 2020 -2023 due to the impact generated by the Covid-19 pandemic in the Bahamas. The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the world's economic order and global public health. Social distancing measures to curb the spread of the virus created significant challenges for global economic activity. Sectors such as tourism which depend on the movement of people virtually shut down. The economy of The Bahamas is heavily reliant on tourism, which accounts for approximately 50% of the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The pandemic also highlighted the country's socio-economic vulnerability as businesses and citizens felt the crunch These impacts highlighted the need for comprehensive Disaster Risk Management (DRM) and Heal...
Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification of a seismic risk model for road networks
Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 2021
Natural hazards may cause significant disruptions to road infrastructure, subsequently affecting ... more Natural hazards may cause significant disruptions to road infrastructure, subsequently affecting road agencies, users, and productive activities. Despite the existence of infrastructure fragilities to seismic hazard and some operational consequences on network mobility, previous research has not modeled risk in terms of traffic disruptions and consequent travel time delays in subduction environments, analyzing the sensitivity to model parameters and quantified model uncertainty. This study proposes a risk framework to evaluate operational consequences in interurban road networks exposed to seismic hazard using travel time delays and propagate uncertainty in the model. Risk values are evaluated using Monte Carlo simulations, and uncertainty is propagated using a polynomial chaos expansion meta‐model. The framework was applied to a very critical interurban network in central Chile. Results demonstrate that the parameters that most significantly influence risk are fragility, loss of road capacity, and traffic volume.
Natural hazards may temporarily or permanently interrupt the normal operation of rural road netwo... more Natural hazards may temporarily or permanently interrupt the normal operation of rural road networks. The potential social, economic, environmental and physical impacts of natural events on rural road infrastructures empirically evidence the need to incorporate a sustainable risk approach to manage rural road networks exposed to natural hazards. Available risk management systems are applied to major networks emphasizing the physical risk of road infrastructure in terms of expected economic losses and travel time delays, without considering a systemic approach and other dimensions of risk, such as social vulnerability and the consequent socio-economic effects. The study proposes a sustainable risk management framework for rural roads that accounts for the social vulnerability of rural population, the physical vulnerability of rural roads and the environmental context in terms of natural hazards. The proposed framework is applicable to rural road networks exposed to major natural even...
The Bahamas 9 MACROECONOMIC SECTOR Economic impact Evolution of the economy before Hurricane Matt... more The Bahamas 9 MACROECONOMIC SECTOR Economic impact Evolution of the economy before Hurricane Matthew Economic Activity Fiscal developments Monetary developments Balance of payments Impact of Hurricane Matthew on the macro-economy Impact on GDP and Prices Fiscal Impact of Hurricane Matthew The Impact of the balance of payments PART II: RECOMMENDATIONS
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